Stock Ratings / Industrials / POWW / earnings

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Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$2.38 -0.42% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $276.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for POWW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$0.19 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

POWW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.5%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$51.1M	-$3.5M	-$3.2M	87.2%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$49.4M	-$130.8M	-$117.8M	86.9%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$53.9M	-$16.6M	$32.6M	87.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring POWW)

✓Walkthrough of POWW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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POWW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.24%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $2.37H $2.39L $2.35C $2.38VOL 385.9K

RES: $2.53SUP: $2.13SMA50: $2.24SMA200: $2.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

POWW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 POWW Butterfly Map → + Track POWW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on POWW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for POWW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

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DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (POWW)

Industrials Rank #403 of 485 ⚔️ RGR vs POWW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (POWW vs. RGR, SWBI, WRAP, NPK)

Industry: Ordnance And Accessories (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) ranks #403 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #330 by equity capitalization ($276.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPK leads on earnings valuation at 32.7x trailing P/E, while NPK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.1% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. SWBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with POWW at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
POWW ACTIVE Outdoor Holding Company	D-	37/100	—	87.2%	-3.0%	-0.42%	$276.2M	Benchmark Subject
RGR Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.	D	49/100	—	14.9%	-3.7%	-1.31%	$731.5M	/rgr-vs-poww →
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.	C+	67/100	39.8x	26.9%	6.7%	-1.66%	$735.4M	/swbi-vs-poww →
WRAP Wrap Technologies Inc.	E	31/100	—	57.8%	-35.0%	-0.81%	$76.3M	/wrap-vs-poww →
NPK National Presto Industries Inc.	D+	53/100	32.7x	16.0%	8.1%	+0.66%	$1.08B	/npk-vs-poww →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001015383

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Outdoor Holding Company (POWW) reported GAAP revenue of $51.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.4M , and -5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.5M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, POWW closed FY2025 with $271.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.13, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$51.1M	-$3.5M	—	—	$271.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$49.4M	-$130.8M	—	—	$355.4M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$53.9M	-$16.6M	$32.6M	$32.6M	—	—

3. POWW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is POWW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Outdoor Holding Company (NASDAQ: POWW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $2.38 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $276.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, POWW ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

How does POWW compare to RGR and SWBI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Ordnance And Accessories), POWW carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.2%, and ROIC of -3.0%. By comparison, RGR (Sturm Ruger & Company Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $731.5M) and SWBI (Smith & Wesson Brands Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 39.8x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $735.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPK leads on earnings multiple (32.7x) while NPK leads on capital efficiency (8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POWW?

Per POWW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001015383), Outdoor Holding Company generated $51.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$3.5M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $271.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is POWW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

POWW last traded at $2.38 (-0.42% on volume of 301,110 shares), positioning the stock +6.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.24) and +12.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.11). Across its 52-week range of $1.55 to $2.67, POWW sits at the 74.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($2.19 to $2.57).

POWW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is POWW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Outdoor Holding Company (POWW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is POWW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8% event move for POWW, spanning a range between $2.19 and $2.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: POWW RQD Cockpit POWW 12M Forecast POWW Earnings & Move POWW Dividends & DRIP POWW Insiders & 13F POWW Whale Options POWW Profit Sankey POWW News & Why