PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$61.06 +5.86% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.85

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $2.24B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.85 (+1.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (17)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$91 Bull$65 Base$50 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PHIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PHIN SCORES 74/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 27% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 63 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.3% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$57.83+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$57.90-1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$57.32+6.5% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$61.06+7.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (66) β†’ B (74)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PHIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, PHIN faces multiple-compression risk if 17.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 19.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($62.10) or 200D SMA ($71.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.46) toward Bear Floor ($50.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHINβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPHIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±6.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PHIN)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PHIN.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PHIN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PHIN
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PHIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.37%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $61.70H $62.93L $61.06C $61.06VOL 430.8K
RES: $73.14SUP: $52.06SMA50: $62.10SMA200: $71.36
$89.17$79.91$70.65$61.39$52.13RES $73.14SUP $52.06$61.062026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHIN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #97 of 1011 βš”οΈ LCII vs PHIN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PHIN vs. LCII, PATK, DAN, VC)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #402 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PHIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PHIN ACTIVE
PHINIA Inc.
B 74/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +5.86% $2.24B Benchmark Subject
LCII
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +1.41% $2.41B /lcii-vs-phin β†’
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc.
C 63/100 17.9x 23.1% 8.9% +7.51% $2.41B /patk-vs-phin β†’
DAN
Dana Incorporated
C- 60/100 31.5x 8.0% 29.6% -2.47% $2.67B /dan-vs-phin β†’
VC
Visteon Corporation
C+ 66/100 β€” 14.1% 0.0% +1.12% $1.81B /vc-vs-phin β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001968915

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.40B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $130.0M, operating cash flow of $312.0M, and free cash flow of $312.0M (+1.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHIN closed FY2025 with $3.82B in total assets against $967.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.04, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.48B $130.0M $312.0M $312.0M $3.82B $967.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.40B $79.0M $308.0M $308.0M $3.77B $963.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.50B $102.0M $250.0M $250.0M β€” β€”

3. PHIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PHINIA Inc. (NYSE: PHIN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $61.06 (+5.86% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHIN ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHIN compare to LCII and PATK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PHIN carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 21.9%, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, LCII (LCI Industries) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B) and PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHIN?

Per PHIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001968915), PHINIA Inc. generated $3.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $130.0M in net income, and $312.0M in free cash flow against $3.82B in total assets and $967.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHIN last traded at $61.06 (+5.86% on volume of 564,764 shares), positioning the stock -1.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($62.10) and -14.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.36). Across its 52-week range of $51.38 to $86.94, PHIN sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.2% ($57.27 to $64.85).

PHIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is PHIN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PHIN.

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