Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PHIN / forecast

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PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$61.06 +5.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.85

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.24B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.85 (+1.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PHIN SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.3% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$57.83+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$57.90-1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$57.32+6.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B$61.06+7.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PHIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, PHIN faces multiple-compression risk if 17.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($62.10) or 200D SMA ($71.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.46) toward Bear Floor ($50.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PHIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PHIN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $61.06: 163.8 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $50.07

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $65.46

$10,721

+$721 (+7.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $91.29

$14,951

+$4,951 (+49.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$68	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	STRONG BUY	$86	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$58	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (PHIN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PHIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $61.70H $62.93L $61.06C $61.06VOL 430.8K

RES: $73.14SUP: $52.06SMA50: $62.10SMA200: $71.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PHIN Butterfly Map → + Track PHIN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #97 of 1011 ⚔️ LCII vs PHIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PHIN vs. LCII, PATK, DAN, VC)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #402 by equity capitalization ($2.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PHIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PHIN ACTIVE PHINIA Inc.	B	74/100	17.2x	21.9%	9.1%	+5.86%	$2.24B	Benchmark Subject
LCII LCI Industries	C	63/100	12.8x	23.8%	10.6%	+1.41%	$2.41B	/lcii-vs-phin →
PATK Patrick Industries Inc.	C	63/100	17.9x	23.1%	8.9%	+7.51%	$2.41B	/patk-vs-phin →
DAN Dana Incorporated	C-	60/100	31.5x	8.0%	29.6%	-2.47%	$2.67B	/dan-vs-phin →
VC Visteon Corporation	C+	66/100	—	14.1%	0.0%	+1.12%	$1.81B	/vc-vs-phin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001968915

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.48B (+2.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.40B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $130.0M, operating cash flow of $312.0M, and free cash flow of $312.0M (+1.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHIN closed FY2025 with $3.82B in total assets against $967.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.04, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.48B	$130.0M	$312.0M	$312.0M	$3.82B	$967.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.40B	$79.0M	$308.0M	$308.0M	$3.77B	$963.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.50B	$102.0M	$250.0M	$250.0M	—	—

3. PHIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PHINIA Inc. (NYSE: PHIN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $61.06 (+5.86% 1D, market cap $2.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PHIN ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHIN compare to LCII and PATK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), PHIN carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.2x, gross margin of 21.9%, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, LCII (LCI Industries) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B) and PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHIN?

Per PHIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001968915), PHINIA Inc. generated $3.48B in revenue (+2.4% YoY), $130.0M in net income, and $312.0M in free cash flow against $3.82B in total assets and $967.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHIN last traded at $61.06 (+5.86% on volume of 564,764 shares), positioning the stock -1.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($62.10) and -14.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.36). Across its 52-week range of $51.38 to $86.94, PHIN sits at the 27.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($57.27 to $64.85).

PHIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PHIN's 12-month stock price target?

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $65.46 (+7.2% from $61.06), with a bull-case target of $91.29 and a bear-case floor of $50.07.