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Pedevco Corp. (PED) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$16.41 +0.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.38

Pedevco Corp. (PED) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $218.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.38 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 23.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PED SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 74 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$13.47+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$13.69+9.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.93+9.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$16.41-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PED Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PED currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.04) and Max Pain ($17.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PED• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PED Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PED Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $16.41: 609.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $12.05

$7,343

$-2,657 (-26.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $15.45

$9,415

$-585 (-5.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $19.83

$12,084

+$2,084 (+20.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$16	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$19	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PED)

✓Walkthrough of PED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $16.16H $16.64L $15.84C $16.41VOL 14.7K

RES: $18.74SUP: $7.68SMA50: $14.04SMA200: $13.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PED Butterfly Map → + Track PED →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PED today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PED)

Energy Rank #170 of 211 ⚔️ RGCO vs PED Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PED vs. RGCO, EPSN, KGEI, AMPY)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pedevco Corp. (PED) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #172 by equity capitalization ($218.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with PED at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PED ACTIVE Pedevco Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	-3.0%	+0.06%	$218.1M	Benchmark Subject
RGCO RGC Resources Inc.	C-	60/100	18.0x	—	5.7%	+0.79%	$238.5M	/rgco-vs-ped →
EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share	C	62/100	—	—	-7.2%	+0.47%	$194.4M	/epsn-vs-ped →
KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.56%	$256.3M	/kgei-vs-ped →
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp.	C	64/100	4.1x	93.2%	15.3%	-1.37%	$179.5M	/ampy-vs-ped →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001141197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pedevco Corp. (PED) reported GAAP revenue of $45.8M (+15.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $39.6M , and +48.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.4M, operating cash flow of $10.8M, and free cash flow of $10.8M (-15.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PED closed FY2025 with $375.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$45.8M	-$10.4M	$10.8M	$10.8M	$375.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$39.6M	$12.3M	$12.8M	$12.8M	$128.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$30.8M	$1.7M	$23.5M	$23.5M	—	—

3. PED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Pedevco Corp. (NYSE: PED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $16.41 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $218.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PED ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PED compare to RGCO and EPSN in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PED carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -3.0%. By comparison, RGCO (RGC Resources Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 5.7%, cap $238.5M) and EPSN (Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $194.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PED?

Per PED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001141197), Pedevco Corp. generated $45.8M in revenue (+15.7% YoY), -$10.4M in net income, and $10.8M in free cash flow against $375.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PED last traded at $16.41 (+0.06% on volume of 19,879 shares), positioning the stock +16.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.04) and +20.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.64). Across its 52-week range of $8.64 to $18.89, PED sits at the 75.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($14.65 to $18.17).

PED Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PED's 12-month stock price target?

Pedevco Corp. (PED) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $15.45 (-5.9% from $16.41), with a bull-case target of $19.83 and a bear-case floor of $12.05.