Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4% Move

$38.81 +1.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.98

Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.98 (+0.44%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 148.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (18)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$49 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE PEBO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEBO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PEBO SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$35.80+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$36.72+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$38.20+1.6% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$38.81+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PEBO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, PEBO faces multiple-compression risk if 13.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.41) or 200D SMA ($36.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.26) toward Bear Floor ($31.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEBO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PEBO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4% Swing Band

±$1.55 Expected Swing
$37.26 (-4%)Spot $38.81$40.36 (+4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PEBO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $2.97 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.3%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$86.7M$106.8M$128.7M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$84.8M$117.2M$136.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$79.5M$113.4M$143.6M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PEBO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PEBO
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PEBO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.82%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $39.00H $39.00L $38.37C $38.81VOL 501.6K
RES: $38.25SUP: $34.61SMA50: $38.41SMA200: $36.08
$43.08$39.82$36.55$33.29$30.03RES $38.25SUP $34.61$38.812026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEBO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEBO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEBO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEBO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEBO)

Financials Rank #97 of 1096 ⚔️ WABC vs PEBO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PEBO vs. WABC, FMBH, BHRB, HBT)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO) ranks #97 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #504 by equity capitalization ($1.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WABC leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while BHRB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. PEBO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PEBO ACTIVE
Peoples Bancorp Inc.
B 72/100 13.1x — 10.5% +1.09% $1.39B Benchmark Subject
WABC
Westamerica Bancorporation
C 63/100 12.2x — 12.4% +0.79% $1.42B /wabc-vs-pebo →
FMBH
First Mid Bancshares Inc.
C 62/100 14.8x — 9.6% +1.21% $1.36B /fmbh-vs-pebo →
BHRB
Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.
C- 61/100 12.2x — 13.7% +0.88% $1.43B /bhrb-vs-pebo →
HBT
HBT Financial Inc.
B- 70/100 17.4x — 12.5% +1.10% $1.34B /hbt-vs-pebo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000318300

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO) reported GAAP revenue of $86.7M (+2.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $84.8M , and +9.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $106.8M, operating cash flow of $134.7M, and free cash flow of $128.7M (-5.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEBO closed FY2025 with $9.65B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $86.7M $106.8M $134.7M $128.7M $9.65B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $84.8M $117.2M $143.2M $136.4M $9.25B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $79.5M $113.4M $143.6M $143.6M — —

3. PEBO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEBO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Peoples Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: PEBO) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $38.81 (+1.09% 1D, market cap $1.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PEBO ranks #97 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEBO compare to WABC and FMBH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), PEBO carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.5%. By comparison, WABC (Westamerica Bancorporation) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.42B) and FMBH (First Mid Bancshares Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WABC leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while BHRB leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEBO?

Per PEBO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000318300), Peoples Bancorp Inc. generated $86.7M in revenue (+2.3% YoY), $106.8M in net income, and $128.7M in free cash flow against $9.65B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEBO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEBO last traded at $38.81 (+1.09% on volume of 404,652 shares), positioning the stock +1.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.41) and +7.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.08). Across its 52-week range of $28.01 to $42.29, PEBO sits at the 75.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($37.26 to $40.36).

PEBO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PEBO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PEBO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4% event move for PEBO, spanning a range between $37.26 and $40.36.

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