MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 12h ago
AI Cracks Fuel REIT ComebackThe Fed held rates steady following September's hike, with two dissenters favoring another increase. Check out the market update here.
Why PEB Stock advanced +1.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$21.72 +1.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.72
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.45B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.72 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 16.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PEB SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($249.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 98% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$19.12+1.9% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$19.49+4.6% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$20.39+6.5% Next Q
43
CurrentGrade D$21.72-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PEB Turnaround Squeeze
While PEB currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.98) and Max Pain ($22.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.25.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PEB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why PEB Stock advanced +1.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) advanced +1.16% to $21.72, trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($9.99 – $21.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($9.99 – $21.9) with RSI-14 at 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $21.72 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $249.7M annual free cash flow.
Live PEB Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Stock Shrugs Off Q3 Earnings Cash Flow BeatThe market barely flinched at Pebblebrook Hotel Trust today. The stock eased 0.8% to US$21.54, even after a punchy Q3 2026 update that put cash generation, not accounting profit, in the spotlight. The headline was clear.
CATALYSTYahoo • 1d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsConstrained supply and room-rate growth outpacing inflation create a rare window for margin expansion in lodging.
CATALYSTSeekingAlpha • 1d ago
Host Hotels & Resorts: With A 9% Return Is A HoldHost Hotels & Resorts offers fair value upside, strong luxury hotel assets, and solid IRR potential. Discover more about the HST stock here.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 1d ago
What Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallPebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE:PEB) reported third-quarter results that exceeded the high end of its outlook for a third consecutive quarter, supported by higher room rates, increased transient demand, resort spending and
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptUrban markets and resorts drive 15% EBITDA growth and 23.5% FFO gains.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Publishes Eighth Annual Corporate Sustainability ReportBETHESDA, Md., October 30, 2026--Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Publishes Eighth Annual Corporate Sustainability Report
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 2d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptPebblebrook Hotel (NYSE:PEB) reported third-quarter financial results on Friday. The transcript from the company’s third-quarter earnings call has been provided below.This transcript is brought to you by Benzinga APIs.
MARKET WIREFintel • 2d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Reports Third Quarter 2026 ResultsCATALYSTChartMill • 2d ago
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE:PEB) Q3 2026 Results Beat Estimates and Raised GuidancePebblebrook Q3 2026 beat revenue and EPS estimates, raised full-year guidance on strong RevPAR growth, though shares slipped after a recent rally.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PEB)
- ✓Walkthrough of PEB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PEB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.59%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $21.20H $21.72L $20.85C $21.72VOL 5.08M
RES: $19.99SUP: $16.95SMA50: $18.98SMA200: $16.09
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
PEB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
43.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEB today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEB)
Financials Rank #918 of 1096
⚔️ FCPT vs PEB Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PEB vs. FCPT, IVT, LTC, AKR)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) ranks #918 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #400 by equity capitalization ($2.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LTC leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while LTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with PEB at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEB
ACTIVE
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of | D | 46/100 | — | — | 1.5% | +1.16% | $2.45B | Benchmark Subject |
| FCPT Four Corners Property Trust Inc. | C | 64/100 | 21.8x | — | 6.9% | +1.36% | $2.45B | /fcpt-vs-peb → |
| IVT InvenTrust Properties Corp. | C+ | 66/100 | 21.7x | — | 2.6% | +3.16% | $2.42B | /ivt-vs-peb → |
| LTC LTC Properties Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 19.3x | — | 15.2% | +3.72% | $2.39B | /ltc-vs-peb → |
| AKR Acadia Realty Trust | C | 63/100 | 155.0x | — | 1.8% | +2.42% | $2.62B | /akr-vs-peb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001474098In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and +3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.8M, operating cash flow of $249.7M, and free cash flow of $249.7M (-9.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEB closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.48B | -$65.8M | $249.7M | $249.7M | $5.35B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.45B | -$4.2M | $275.0M | $275.0M | $5.69B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.42B | -$78.0M | $236.2M | $236.2M | — | — |
3. PEB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (NYSE: PEB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $21.72 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PEB ranks #918 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PEB compare to FCPT and IVT in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PEB carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, FCPT (Four Corners Property Trust Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.8x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.45B) and IVT (InvenTrust Properties Corp.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LTC leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while LTC leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEB?
Per PEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474098), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of generated $1.48B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), -$65.8M in net income, and $249.7M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PEB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PEB last traded at $21.72 (+1.16% on volume of 2,088,395 shares), positioning the stock +14.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.98) and +34.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $9.99 to $21.90, PEB sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($20.05 to $23.39).
PEB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PEB stock moving today?
Why PEB Stock advanced +1.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.