Stock Ratings / Financials / PEB / earnings

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Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.7% Move

$21.72 +1.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.72

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.45B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.72 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 16.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PEB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PEB SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.9% FCF Margin ($249.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 98% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$19.12+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$19.49+4.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$20.39+6.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$21.72-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PEB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PEB currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.98) and Max Pain ($22.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PEB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PEB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.7% Swing Band

±$1.67 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PEB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.5%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.48B	-$65.8M	$249.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.45B	-$4.2M	$275.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.42B	-$78.0M	$236.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PEB)

✓Walkthrough of PEB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PEB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +54.59%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $21.20H $21.72L $20.85C $21.72VOL 5.08M

RES: $19.99SUP: $16.95SMA50: $18.98SMA200: $16.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PEB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PEB Butterfly Map → + Track PEB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

43.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PEB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PEB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PEB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PEB)

Financials Rank #918 of 1096 ⚔️ FCPT vs PEB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PEB vs. FCPT, IVT, LTC, AKR)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) ranks #918 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #400 by equity capitalization ($2.45B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LTC leads on earnings valuation at 19.3x trailing P/E, while LTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. LTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with PEB at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PEB ACTIVE Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of	D	46/100	—	—	1.5%	+1.16%	$2.45B	Benchmark Subject
FCPT Four Corners Property Trust Inc.	C	64/100	21.8x	—	6.9%	+1.36%	$2.45B	/fcpt-vs-peb →
IVT InvenTrust Properties Corp.	C+	66/100	21.7x	—	2.6%	+3.16%	$2.42B	/ivt-vs-peb →
LTC LTC Properties Inc.	B+	78/100	19.3x	—	15.2%	+3.72%	$2.39B	/ltc-vs-peb →
AKR Acadia Realty Trust	C	63/100	155.0x	—	1.8%	+2.42%	$2.62B	/akr-vs-peb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001474098

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (PEB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.45B , and +3.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.8M, operating cash flow of $249.7M, and free cash flow of $249.7M (-9.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PEB closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.48B	-$65.8M	$249.7M	$249.7M	$5.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.45B	-$4.2M	$275.0M	$275.0M	$5.69B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.42B	-$78.0M	$236.2M	$236.2M	—	—

3. PEB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PEB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of (NYSE: PEB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $21.72 (+1.16% 1D, market cap $2.45B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PEB ranks #918 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PEB compare to FCPT and IVT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), PEB carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.5%. By comparison, FCPT (Four Corners Property Trust Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.8x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $2.45B) and IVT (InvenTrust Properties Corp.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 2.6%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LTC leads on earnings multiple (19.3x) while LTC leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PEB?

Per PEB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001474098), Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of generated $1.48B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), -$65.8M in net income, and $249.7M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PEB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PEB last traded at $21.72 (+1.16% on volume of 2,088,395 shares), positioning the stock +14.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.98) and +34.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.09). Across its 52-week range of $9.99 to $21.90, PEB sits at the 98.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($20.05 to $23.39).