Stock Ratings / Technology / PD / earnings

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PagerDuty Inc. (PD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

Q: Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $17.38 (-3.17% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #372 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.36B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is PD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PD last traded at $17.38 (-3.17% on volume of 1,513,825 shares), positioning the stock +15.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.11) and +71.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.14). Across its 52-week range of $5.70 to $18.06, PD sits at the 94.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($16.06 to $18.70).

Q: When is PD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, PagerDuty Inc. (PD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

Q: How much is PD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for PD, spanning a range between $16.06 and $18.7.

$17.38 -3.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.25

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.37B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.25 (-0.76%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 22.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PD SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.43 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.2% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$16.16+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$16.16+8.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$17.49-0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$17.38-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PD currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.11) and Max Pain ($18.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~89 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$1.32 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $2.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.4%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-31	$492.5M	$172.7M	$111.9M	84.9%
FY 2024	2025-01-31	$467.5M	-$43.5M	$115.1M	83%
FY 2023	2024-01-31	$430.7M	-$77.4M	$72.0M	84.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PD)

✓Walkthrough of PD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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PD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +161.35%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $17.34H $17.38L $16.68C $17.38VOL 1.38M

RES: $18.20SUP: $16.66SMA50: $15.11SMA200: $10.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PD Butterfly Map → + Track PD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PD)

Technology Rank #372 of 714 ⚔️ ALKT vs PD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PD vs. ALKT, GTM, RDVT, BBAI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PagerDuty Inc. (PD) ranks #372 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #330 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with PD at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PD ACTIVE PagerDuty Inc.	D+	52/100	7.9x	84.9%	6.8%	-3.17%	$1.37B	Benchmark Subject
ALKT Alkami Technology Inc.	D-	35/100	—	57.8%	-14.2%	-18.29%	$1.36B	/alkt-vs-pd →
GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc	C	64/100	10.5x	84.0%	6.7%	+1.13%	$1.30B	/gtm-vs-pd →
RDVT Red Violet Inc.	C-	59/100	98.2x	—	16.1%	-2.35%	$1.29B	/rdvt-vs-pd →
BBAI BigBear.ai Inc.	E	28/100	—	22.3%	-27.5%	+8.54%	$1.29B	/bbai-vs-pd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001568100

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), PagerDuty Inc. (PD) reported GAAP revenue of $492.5M (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.5M , and +14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $172.7M, operating cash flow of $114.9M, and free cash flow of $111.9M (-2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PD closed FY2025 with $990.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.43, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$492.5M	$172.7M	$114.9M	$111.9M	$990.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$467.5M	-$43.5M	$117.9M	$115.1M	$927.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$430.7M	-$77.4M	$72.0M	$72.0M	—	—

3. PD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $17.38 (-3.17% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #372 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.36B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PD last traded at $17.38 (-3.17% on volume of 1,513,825 shares), positioning the stock +15.02% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.11) and +71.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.14). Across its 52-week range of $5.70 to $18.06, PD sits at the 94.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($16.06 to $18.70).

PD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, PagerDuty Inc. (PD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is PD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for PD, spanning a range between $16.06 and $18.7.

Direct Sub-Reports: PD RQD Cockpit PD 12M Forecast PD Earnings & Move PD Dividends & DRIP PD Insiders & 13F PD Whale Options PD Profit Sankey PD News & Why