PagerDuty Inc. (PD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$16.94 -2.53% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.83

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.37B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PD Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.94 (-2.53% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #186 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.36B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?
β–Ό

Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.83 (-0.65%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 22.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (6)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$21 Bull$17 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PD SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±7.7% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.2% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$16.24+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$16.69+6.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$17.82-4.9% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$16.94+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, PD faces multiple-compression risk if 7.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 82.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.21) or 200D SMA ($10.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.40) toward Bear Floor ($13.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PDβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in PD & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on PD and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +128.30%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $17.95H $17.95L $16.94C $16.94VOL 1.51M
RES: $18.59SUP: $16.78SMA50: $15.21SMA200: $10.16
$18.88$15.50$12.12$8.74$5.36RES $18.59SUP $16.78$16.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PD)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PD vs. ALKT, GTM, RDVT, BBAI)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PagerDuty Inc. (PD) ranks #186 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #330 by equity capitalization ($1.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PD leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while RDVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. RDVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with PD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PD ACTIVE
PagerDuty Inc.
C 64/100 7.9x 84.9% 6.8% -2.53% $1.37B Benchmark Subject
ALKT
Alkami Technology Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 57.8% -14.2% -2.28% $1.36B /alkt-vs-pd β†’
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 53/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% -2.68% $1.30B /gtm-vs-pd β†’
RDVT
Red Violet Inc.
B- 70/100 98.2x β€” 16.1% -0.57% $1.29B /rdvt-vs-pd β†’
BBAI
BigBear.ai Inc.
E 28/100 β€” 22.3% -27.5% -2.62% $1.29B /bbai-vs-pd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001568100

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), PagerDuty Inc. (PD) reported GAAP revenue of $492.5M (+5.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $467.5M , and +14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $172.7M, operating cash flow of $114.9M, and free cash flow of $111.9M (-2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PD closed FY2025 with $990.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.43, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $492.5M $172.7M $114.9M $111.9M $990.5M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $467.5M -$43.5M $117.9M $115.1M $927.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $430.7M -$77.4M $72.0M $72.0M β€” β€”

3. PD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, PagerDuty Inc. (NYSE: PD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.94 (-2.53% 1D, market cap $1.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PD ranks #186 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PD compare to ALKT and GTM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), PD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.9x, gross margin of 84.9%, and ROIC of 6.8%. By comparison, ALKT (Alkami Technology Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.2%, cap $1.36B) and GTM (ZoomInfo Technologies Inc) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $1.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PD leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while RDVT leads on capital efficiency (16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PD?

Per PD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001568100), PagerDuty Inc. generated $492.5M in revenue (+5.4% YoY), $172.7M in net income, and $111.9M in free cash flow against $990.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PD last traded at $16.94 (-2.53% on volume of 1,376,896 shares), positioning the stock +11.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.21) and +66.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.16). Across its 52-week range of $5.70 to $18.06, PD sits at the 90.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.7% ($15.64 to $18.24).

PD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does PD pay a dividend and is it safe?

PagerDuty Inc. (PD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PD β€” PagerDuty Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PD scores 64 out of 100, a C grade labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC 6.8%; FCF yield 8.19%), Whale 13F Flow at 17/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20 (Altman Z 1.43; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is the cash engine, where a 6.8% ROIC and 1.2% operating margin contrast with an 8.19% FCF yield, suggesting cash generation is running ahead of reported operating profit. The strongest pillars are institutional and insider flow, which the rating treats as supportive signals. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the flow pillars and the cash yield, while the valuation tradeoff is that a 7.9x trailing P/E and 7.3x forward P/E sit alongside a thin operating margin, so earnings quality and sustainability are the key items to test. The middling Altman Z and balance-sheet score mean financial risk is moderate rather than acute.

Business

PagerDuty Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, per the SEC financials profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. The profile identifies the company only by sector, industry, and exchange. The financial figures indicate revenue of $492.5M for FY 2025, but the composition of that revenue is not detailed in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$492.5M$5.8M$172.7MN/A$111.9M$237.4MN/A
FY 2024$467.5M$-59.8M$-43.5MN/A$115.1M$346.5MN/A
FY 2023$430.7M$-96.2M$-77.4MN/A$72.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $430.7M in FY 2023 to $492.5M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss of $-96.2M to a profit of $5.8M. FY 2025 net income of $172.7M materially exceeds operating income, a gap the source data does not explain. Per the market data, gross margin is 84.9%, operating margin 1.2%, and net margin 35.1%, with ROIC at 6.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 1.43 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. The balance sheet posture is therefore assessed as moderate by the rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all referencing PD, from sources including Yahoo! Finance Canada, Kavout, Yahoo Finance UK, Simply Wall St, TradingView, and GuruFocus. Two items are flagged as catalysts (Simply Wall St, which references "Its Earnings Beat And Customer Growth," and GuruFocus, which references a "3.3% Gain" and a GF Value of $21.48 versus a price of $16.69). The remaining four are flagged as market wire with yellow signals and are general stock-information pages. Per the feed, the GuruFocus item cites a gross valuation reference of $21.48, which the source data presents as a third-party estimate. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so there are no butterfly-linked catalysts to report.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish any upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the Technology/Prepackaged Software classification, or second-order bottlenecks. The Roarable RQD macro pillar notes sector sensitivity through a Beta of 1.0, which indicates market-level rather than sub-sector exposure. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means the source cannot identify which customers, suppliers, or competitors could transmit shocks to PD.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between FY 2025 net income of $172.7M and operating income of $5.8M, and how much of net income is recurring?
  • What are the company's total debt and EPS figures, which the financial records list as N/A?
  • What is the EV/EBITDA and what is the cash position trend beyond FY 2025, given FY 2023 cash is listed as N/A?
  • What specific products and customer base generate the revenue, which the source data does not describe?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?

PD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PagerDuty Inc. (PD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $16.94?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.77 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PD (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $17.38?

Welcome to the PD (PagerDuty Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.08 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $17.38

Pump the brakes on PD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PD, but look at what you are paying: 7.9x trailing P/E with 84.9% gross margins. Unless PagerDuty Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.20 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $17.38

PD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.38 (52-wk range $5.70 - $18.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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