Stock Ratings / Utilities / PCYO / financials

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Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$10.59 -0.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60

Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (61% profit margin, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $255.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 50.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PCYO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PCYO SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+20/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 32% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$11.11-0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A-$11.02-2.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$10.78-1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$10.59+7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (84) → B+ (76)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PCYO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, PCYO faces multiple-compression risk if 19.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 58.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.03) or 200D SMA ($10.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.45) toward Bear Floor ($8.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PCYO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PCYO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PCYO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$13.2M (50.5% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $14.6M

FY24

Rev $28.7M

FY25

Rev $26.1M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$26.1M	61.4%	29.4%	$13.1M	$13.2M	4.4%
FY 2024	$28.7M	68.7%	42.6%	$11.6M	$2.3M	8%
FY 2023	$14.6M	61.4%	14.2%	$4.7M	-$2.3M	4.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PCYO)

✓Walkthrough of PCYO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PCYO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.23%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $10.59H $10.76L $10.50C $10.59VOL 57.9K

RES: $11.13SUP: $10.43SMA50: $11.03SMA200: $10.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PCYO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PCYO Butterfly Map → + Track PCYO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PCYO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PCYO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PCYO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PCYO)

Utilities Rank #6 of 117 ⚔️ GWRS vs PCYO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (PCYO vs. GWRS, ARTNA, CDZI, CWCO)

Industry: Water Supply (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #97 by equity capitalization ($255.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARTNA leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while CWCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and 36.6% gross margin. CWCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with PCYO at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PCYO ACTIVE Pure Cycle Corporation	B+	76/100	19.5x	61.4%	4.4%	-0.56%	$255.2M	Benchmark Subject
GWRS Global Water Resources Inc.	D-	40/100	79.0x	—	2.7%	+0.52%	$233.7M	/gwrs-vs-pcyo →
ARTNA Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)	D+	52/100	15.2x	—	5.2%	-0.86%	$346.0M	/artna-vs-pcyo →
CDZI CADIZ Inc.	E	34/100	—	31.6%	-23.1%	-0.21%	$398.8M	/cdzi-vs-pcyo →
CWCO Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.	B+	80/100	23.4x	36.6%	14.8%	-0.89%	$428.5M	/cwco-vs-pcyo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000276720

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) reported GAAP revenue of $26.1M (-9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.7M , and +78.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.1M, operating cash flow of $13.2M, and free cash flow of $13.2M (+469.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, PCYO closed FY2025 with $168.1M in total assets against $7.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.62, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-31	$26.1M	$13.1M	$13.2M	$13.2M	$168.1M	$7.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$28.7M	$11.6M	$2.3M	$2.3M	$149.7M	$6.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-31	$14.6M	$4.7M	-$2.3M	-$2.3M	—	—

3. PCYO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PCYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Pure Cycle Corporation (NASDAQ: PCYO) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $10.59 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $255.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 20/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, PCYO ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PCYO compare to GWRS and ARTNA in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Water Supply), PCYO carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.5x, gross margin of 61.4%, and ROIC of 4.4%. By comparison, GWRS (Global Water Resources Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 79.0x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $233.7M) and ARTNA (Artesian Resources Corporation (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 15.2x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $346.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARTNA leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while CWCO leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PCYO?

Per PCYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000276720), Pure Cycle Corporation generated $26.1M in revenue (-9.3% YoY), $13.1M in net income, and $13.2M in free cash flow against $168.1M in total assets and $7.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PCYO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PCYO last traded at $10.59 (-0.56% on volume of 66,303 shares), positioning the stock -3.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.03) and -2.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.71 to $12.44, PCYO sits at the 32.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($10.12 to $11.06).

PCYO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Pure Cycle Corporation (PCYO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PCYO converted $26.1M of revenue into a 61.4% gross margin, 29.4% operating margin, and $13.2M in free cash flow (50.5% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: PCYO RQD Cockpit PCYO 12M Forecast PCYO Earnings & Move PCYO Dividends & DRIP PCYO Insiders & 13F PCYO Whale Options PCYO Profit Sankey PCYO News & Why