Stock Ratings / Energy / PARR / dividends

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Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$73.31 -0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.40

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $3.67B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PARR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PARR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (NYSE: PARR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $73.31 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $3.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PARR ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PARR compare to BTE and CPK in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), PARR carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.8%. By comparison, BTE (Baytex Energy Corp) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.81B) and CPK (Chesapeake Utilities Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $3.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PARR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while PARR leads on capital efficiency (19.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PARR?

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Per PARR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000821483), Par Pacific Holdings Inc. generated $7.46B in revenue (-6.4% YoY), $369.4M in net income, and $296.5M in free cash flow against $3.83B in total assets and $797.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $73.40 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PARR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PARR SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 69% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$83.12-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$83.02+0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$83.17-11.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$73.31+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PARR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, PARR faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.23) or 200D SMA ($64.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.58) toward Bear Floor ($60.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PARR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PARR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in PARR & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on PARR and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PARR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $73.79H $73.79L $73.31C $73.31VOL 660.0K

RES: $92.97SUP: $72.56SMA50: $81.23SMA200: $64.37

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PARR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PARR Butterfly Map → + Track PARR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PARR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PARR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PARR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PARR)

Energy Rank #11 of 211 ⚔️ BTE vs PARR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PARR vs. BTE, CPK, HESM, HP)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #102 by equity capitalization ($3.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PARR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while PARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PARR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PARR ACTIVE Par Pacific Holdings Inc.	B+	77/100	9.9x	—	19.8%	-0.65%	$3.67B	Benchmark Subject
BTE Baytex Energy Corp	B-	71/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.65%	$3.81B	/bte-vs-parr →
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation	D+	58/100	23.3x	—	6.9%	+1.39%	$3.27B	/cpk-vs-parr →
HESM Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests	D+	54/100	11.7x	—	19.1%	+1.70%	$4.14B	/hesm-vs-parr →
HP Helmerich & Payne Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.1%	-0.55%	$4.16B	/hp-vs-parr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000821483

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) reported GAAP revenue of $7.46B (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.97B , and -9.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $369.4M, operating cash flow of $445.3M, and free cash flow of $296.5M (+672.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, PARR closed FY2025 with $3.83B in total assets against $797.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.78, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.46B	$369.4M	$445.3M	$296.5M	$3.83B	$797.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.97B	-$33.3M	$83.8M	-$51.8M	$3.83B	$1.11B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.23B	$728.6M	$579.2M	$579.2M	—	—

3. PARR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PARR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PARR compare to BTE and CPK in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PARR?

Where is PARR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PARR last traded at $73.31 (-0.65% on volume of 659,975 shares), positioning the stock -9.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.23) and +13.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($64.37). Across its 52-week range of $34.37 to $90.74, PARR sits at the 69.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($64.51 to $82.11).

PARR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does PARR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: PARR RQD Cockpit PARR 12M Forecast PARR Earnings & Move PARR Dividends & DRIP PARR Insiders & 13F PARR Whale Options PARR Profit Sankey PARR News & Why