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Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$14.59 -1.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.51

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.51 (-0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRK SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.42 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 29.1% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$13.71+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$14.00+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.13+3.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.59-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CRK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CRK currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.00) and Max Pain ($15.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

59.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

1.42>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE15% OF RANGE

L: $12$14.59H: $28

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CRK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (30)

9.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -10.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 1.42 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CRK

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CRK)

✓Walkthrough of CRK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.25%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $14.53H $14.92L $14.53C $14.59VOL 1.82M

RES: $14.98SUP: $12.25SMA50: $14.00SMA200: $16.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRK Butterfly Map → + Track CRK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRK)

Energy Rank #171 of 211 ⚔️ HP vs CRK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRK vs. HP, HESM, CRGY, BTE)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) ranks #171 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #92 by equity capitalization ($4.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRK leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while HESM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and — gross margin. BTE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with CRK at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRK ACTIVE Comstock Resources Inc.	D	44/100	10.8x	—	9.4%	-1.88%	$4.28B	Benchmark Subject
HP Helmerich & Payne Inc.	C	62/100	—	—	0.1%	-0.55%	$4.16B	/hp-vs-crk →
HESM Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests	D+	54/100	11.7x	—	19.1%	+1.70%	$4.14B	/hesm-vs-crk →
CRGY Crescent Energy Company	C-	60/100	34.2x	—	1.7%	0.00%	$4.54B	/crgy-vs-crk →
BTE Baytex Energy Corp	B-	71/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-1.65%	$3.81B	/bte-vs-crk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000023194

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) reported GAAP revenue of $2.22B (+77.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.25B , and +41.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $395.6M, operating cash flow of $899.6M, and free cash flow of -$449.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRK closed FY2025 with $7.01B in total assets against $2.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.22B	$395.6M	$899.6M	-$449.7M	$7.01B	$2.81B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.25B	-$229.7M	$620.3M	-$477.1M	$6.38B	$2.95B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.57B	$211.1M	$1.02B	$1.02B	—	—

3. CRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Comstock Resources Inc. (NYSE: CRK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $14.59 (-1.88% 1D, market cap $4.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRK ranks #171 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRK compare to HP and HESM in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, HP (Helmerich & Payne Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $4.16B) and HESM (Hess Midstream LP Class A Representing Limited Partner Interests) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.7x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRK leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while HESM leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRK?

Per CRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000023194), Comstock Resources Inc. generated $2.22B in revenue (+77.0% YoY), $395.6M in net income, and -$449.7M in free cash flow against $7.01B in total assets and $2.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRK last traded at $14.59 (-1.88% on volume of 2,533,957 shares), positioning the stock +4.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.00) and -9.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.16). Across its 52-week range of $12.12 to $28.10, CRK sits at the 15.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($13.36 to $15.82).

CRK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CRK stock right now?

Comstock Resources Inc. (CRK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 44/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CRK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CRK's 12-month base price target is $13.67 (range $10.66 to $29.51), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRK RQD Cockpit CRK 12M Forecast CRK Earnings & Move CRK Dividends & DRIP CRK Insiders & 13F CRK Whale Options CRK Profit Sankey CRK News & Why