Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PACK / insiders

OI (42) GPK (69) SON (52) REYN (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (-10.05% 1D, market cap $291.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $814.4M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACK last traded at $3.40 (-10.05% on volume of 1,138,136 shares), positioning the stock -16.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.07) and -33.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.13). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.98 to $3.82).

Q: Are PACK insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PACK leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

$3.40 -10.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.33

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $291.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.33 (-2.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 6.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PACK SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.71-6.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.46+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.68-7.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.40-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PACK currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.07) and Max Pain ($3.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

PACK Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (PACK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on PACK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACK)

✓Walkthrough of PACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.20%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $3.40H $3.40L $3.08C $3.40VOL 829.6K

RES: $3.87SUP: $2.83SMA50: $4.07SMA200: $5.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PACK Butterfly Map → + Track PACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #789 of 1011 ⚔️ OI vs PACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PACK vs. OI, GPK, SON, REYN)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) ranks #789 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #651 by equity capitalization ($291.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with PACK at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PACK ACTIVE Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	39.3%	-2.2%	-10.05%	$291.6M	Benchmark Subject
OI O-I Glass Inc.	D-	42/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	-6.04%	$814.4M	/oi-vs-pack →
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company	C+	69/100	5.9x	18.2%	7.8%	+3.16%	$2.61B	/gpk-vs-pack →
SON Sonoco Products Company	D+	52/100	4.9x	20.9%	11.4%	+2.34%	$4.93B	/son-vs-pack →
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.	B	75/100	16.5x	24.6%	13.4%	+2.39%	$4.97B	/reyn-vs-pack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712463

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported GAAP revenue of $332.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $315.5M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.3M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $23.1M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACK closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$332.7M	-$38.3M	$23.1M	$23.1M	$1.12B	$396.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$315.5M	-$21.5M	$41.4M	$41.4M	$1.10B	$400.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$284.8M	-$27.1M	$52.6M	$52.6M	—	—

3. PACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (-10.05% 1D, market cap $291.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $814.4M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACK last traded at $3.40 (-10.05% on volume of 1,138,136 shares), positioning the stock -16.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.07) and -33.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.13). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.98 to $3.82).

PACK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are PACK insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PACK leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: PACK RQD Cockpit PACK 12M Forecast PACK Earnings & Move PACK Dividends & DRIP PACK Insiders & 13F PACK Whale Options PACK Profit Sankey PACK News & Why