Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PACK / earnings

OI (42) GPK (69) SON (52) REYN (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (-10.05% 1D, market cap $291.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $814.4M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACK last traded at $3.40 (-10.05% on volume of 1,138,136 shares), positioning the stock -16.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.07) and -33.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.13). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.98 to $3.82).

Q: When is PACK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is PACK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PACK, spanning a range between $2.98 and $3.82.

$3.40 -10.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.33

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $291.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.33 (-2.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 6.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PACK SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.71-6.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.46+6.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.68-7.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.40-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PACK currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.07) and Max Pain ($3.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.42 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PACK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 42/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.5%

Model Bullish Setup (42/100)Model Risk Weight (58/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$332.7M	-$38.3M	$23.1M	39.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$315.5M	-$21.5M	$41.4M	44.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$284.8M	-$27.1M	$52.6M	39.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACK)

✓Walkthrough of PACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.20%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $3.40H $3.40L $3.08C $3.40VOL 829.6K

RES: $3.87SUP: $2.83SMA50: $4.07SMA200: $5.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PACK Butterfly Map → + Track PACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #789 of 1011 ⚔️ OI vs PACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PACK vs. OI, GPK, SON, REYN)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) ranks #789 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #651 by equity capitalization ($291.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with PACK at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PACK ACTIVE Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	39.3%	-2.2%	-10.05%	$291.6M	Benchmark Subject
OI O-I Glass Inc.	D-	42/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	-6.04%	$814.4M	/oi-vs-pack →
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company	C+	69/100	5.9x	18.2%	7.8%	+3.16%	$2.61B	/gpk-vs-pack →
SON Sonoco Products Company	D+	52/100	4.9x	20.9%	11.4%	+2.34%	$4.93B	/son-vs-pack →
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.	B	75/100	16.5x	24.6%	13.4%	+2.39%	$4.97B	/reyn-vs-pack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712463

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported GAAP revenue of $332.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $315.5M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.3M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $23.1M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACK closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$332.7M	-$38.3M	$23.1M	$23.1M	$1.12B	$396.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$315.5M	-$21.5M	$41.4M	$41.4M	$1.10B	$400.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$284.8M	-$27.1M	$52.6M	$52.6M	—	—

3. PACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $3.40 (-10.05% 1D, market cap $291.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #789 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $814.4M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACK last traded at $3.40 (-10.05% on volume of 1,138,136 shares), positioning the stock -16.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.07) and -33.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.13). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.98 to $3.82).

PACK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PACK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is PACK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PACK, spanning a range between $2.98 and $3.82.

Direct Sub-Reports: PACK RQD Cockpit PACK 12M Forecast PACK Earnings & Move PACK Dividends & DRIP PACK Insiders & 13F PACK Whale Options PACK Profit Sankey PACK News & Why