MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why OVBC Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$49.06 +2.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.16
Ohio Valley Banc Corp. (OVBC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $269.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $49.16 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OVBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OVBC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 71% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$44.74+2.8% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$45.99+2.9% Next Q
64
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$47.32+3.7% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C+$49.06+2% Hist 90D α
69
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OVBC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, OVBC faces multiple-compression risk if 17.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.76) or 200D SMA ($44.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.49) toward Bear Floor ($40.16).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OVBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OVBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OVBC Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ohio Valley Banc Corp. (OVBC) surged +2.23% to $49.06, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($34.81 – $54.96). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($34.81 – $54.96) with RSI-14 at 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.5% around $49.06 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $17.0M annual free cash flow.
Live OVBC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OVBC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OVBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.22%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $48.52H $49.43L $48.22C $49.06VOL 42.5K
RES: $50.04SUP: $42.46SMA50: $45.76SMA200: $44.55
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OVBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OVBC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OVBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OVBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OVBC)
Financials Rank #196 of 1096
⚔️ RMBI vs OVBC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OVBC vs. RMBI, VABK, NKSH, FXNC)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ohio Valley Banc Corp. (OVBC) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #835 by equity capitalization ($269.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VABK leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while VABK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.5% ROIC and — gross margin. VABK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OVBC at 69/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVBC
ACTIVE
Ohio Valley Banc Corp. | C+ | 69/100 | 17.3x | — | 9.2% | +2.23% | $269.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| RMBI Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 23.0x | — | 7.9% | +0.44% | $265.8M | /rmbi-vs-ovbc → |
| VABK Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 14.4x | — | 10.5% | +5.14% | $277.7M | /vabk-vs-ovbc → |
| NKSH National Bankshares Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 16.5x | — | 8.6% | +0.10% | $260.9M | /nksh-vs-ovbc → |
| FXNC First National Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 15.8x | — | 9.5% | +0.26% | $279.7M | /fxnc-vs-ovbc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894671In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ohio Valley Banc Corp. (OVBC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $15.6M, operating cash flow of $18.1M, and free cash flow of $17.0M (+46.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OVBC closed FY2025 with $1.58B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $15.6M | $18.1M | $17.0M | $1.58B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $11.0M | $13.1M | $11.7M | $1.50B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $12.6M | $20.7M | $20.7M | — | — |
3. OVBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OVBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ohio Valley Banc Corp. (NASDAQ: OVBC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $49.06 (+2.23% 1D, market cap $269.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OVBC ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OVBC compare to RMBI and VABK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), OVBC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, RMBI (Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $265.8M) and VABK (Virginia National Bankshares Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.4x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $277.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VABK leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while VABK leads on capital efficiency (10.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OVBC?
Per OVBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894671), Ohio Valley Banc Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $15.6M in net income, and $17.0M in free cash flow against $1.58B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OVBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OVBC last traded at $49.06 (+2.23% on volume of 13,395 shares), positioning the stock +7.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.76) and +10.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.55). Across its 52-week range of $34.81 to $54.96, OVBC sits at the 70.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($46.85 to $51.27).
OVBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OVBC stock moving today?
Why OVBC Stock surged +2.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.