OneSpaWorld came into this earnings print already on a tear, with the stock climbing over the past month and then jumping another 7.2% to about $30 after the Q3 2026 release. The headline is simple: Q3 revenue reached ab
Why OSW Stock surged +7.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($83.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 75/100 (B) score, OSW faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.79) or 200D SMA ($23.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.40) toward Bear Floor ($24.68).
Why OSW Stock surged +7.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) surged +7.23% to $30.10, trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($19.06 – $30.76). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 94% of its 52-week range ($19.06 – $30.76) with RSI-14 at 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $30.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $83.5M annual free cash flow.
OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) just paired record third quarter 2026 earnings with a higher full year outlook, a new US$100 million share repurchase plan, and a 25% dividend increase that tightens the focus on shareholder re
TD Cowen analyst Max Rakhlenko maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $30 to $32.
Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $32 to $35.
Moby summary of OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's Q3 2026 earnings call
Shareholders have larger cash payments headed their way.
An asset-light model generating reliable free cash flow allows management to fund shareholder returns while reducing debt.
Revenue hit $276.5 million with 22 consecutive quarters of growth.
NASSAU, Bahamas (AP) — NASSAU, Bahamas (AP) — OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) on Wednesday reported third-quarter earnings of $28.On a per-share basis, the Nassau, Bahamas-based company said it had net income of 28 ce
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 10:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsLeonard Fluxman - CEO & Executive...
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSW Tape Review)
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OSW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSW)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSW vs. HGV, PK, SHO, PLNT)
Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) ranks #81 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #358 by equity capitalization ($3.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLNT leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while PLNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and 82.6% gross margin. OSW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSW
ACTIVE
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited | B | 75/100 | 42.7x | — | 10.6% | +7.23% | $3.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 34.3x | — | 6.3% | +0.51% | $2.78B | /hgv-vs-osw → |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -0.9% | +1.02% | $3.39B | /pk-vs-osw → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | — | — | — | +1.41% | $2.41B | /sho-vs-osw → |
| PLNT Planet Fitness Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 18.4x | 82.6% | 19.1% | +2.07% | $4.04B | /plnt-vs-osw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758488In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) reported GAAP revenue of $961.0M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $895.0M , and +21.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $71.6M, operating cash flow of $83.5M, and free cash flow of $83.5M (+6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSW closed FY2025 with $707.1M in total assets against $84.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $961.0M | $71.6M | $83.5M | $83.5M | $707.1M | $84.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $895.0M | $72.9M | $78.8M | $78.8M | $746.4M | $93.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $794.0M | -$3.0M | $63.4M | $63.4M | — | — |
3. OSW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OSW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $30.10 (+7.23% 1D, market cap $3.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSW ranks #81 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), OSW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.78B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while PLNT leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?
Per OSW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758488), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited generated $961.0M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $71.6M in net income, and $83.5M in free cash flow against $707.1M in total assets and $84.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OSW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OSW last traded at $30.10 (+7.23% on volume of 1,960,579 shares), positioning the stock +26.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.79) and +25.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.91). Across its 52-week range of $19.06 to $30.76, OSW sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($28.08 to $32.12).
OSW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OSW stock moving today?
Why OSW Stock surged +7.23% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support.