Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OSW / dividends

HGV (56) PK (39) SHO (67) PLNT (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$30.10 +7.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.56

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.06B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.56 (+1.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OSW SCORES 75/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 94% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($83.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$23.74+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$23.85+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$23.86+26.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$30.10+7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (67) → B (75)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, OSW faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.79) or 200D SMA ($23.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.40) toward Bear Floor ($24.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OSW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.37% Total Yield

0.57% Cash ($0.17/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

14% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.4% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,596

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $441/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.3K

Yr 2

$12.0K

Yr 3

$12.8K

Yr 4

$13.6K

Yr 5

$14.5K

Yr 6

$15.4K

Yr 7

$16.4K

Yr 8

$17.5K

Yr 9

$18.6K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in OSW & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on OSW and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OSW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.06%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $30.22H $30.76L $29.95C $30.10VOL 1.74M

RES: $24.23SUP: $20.26SMA50: $23.79SMA200: $23.91

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OSW Butterfly Map → + Track OSW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #81 of 1011 ⚔️ HGV vs OSW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSW vs. HGV, PK, SHO, PLNT)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) ranks #81 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #358 by equity capitalization ($3.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLNT leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while PLNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and 82.6% gross margin. OSW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OSW ACTIVE OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited	B	75/100	42.7x	—	10.6%	+7.23%	$3.06B	Benchmark Subject
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	D+	56/100	34.3x	—	6.3%	+0.51%	$2.78B	/hgv-vs-osw →
PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	-0.9%	+1.02%	$3.39B	/pk-vs-osw →
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.	C+	67/100	—	—	—	+1.41%	$2.41B	/sho-vs-osw →
PLNT Planet Fitness Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	82.6%	19.1%	+2.07%	$4.04B	/plnt-vs-osw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758488

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) reported GAAP revenue of $961.0M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $895.0M , and +21.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $71.6M, operating cash flow of $83.5M, and free cash flow of $83.5M (+6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSW closed FY2025 with $707.1M in total assets against $84.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$961.0M	$71.6M	$83.5M	$83.5M	$707.1M	$84.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$895.0M	$72.9M	$78.8M	$78.8M	$746.4M	$93.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$794.0M	-$3.0M	$63.4M	$63.4M	—	—

3. OSW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OSW) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $30.10 (+7.23% 1D, market cap $3.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSW ranks #81 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), OSW carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.78B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while PLNT leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?

Per OSW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758488), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited generated $961.0M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $71.6M in net income, and $83.5M in free cash flow against $707.1M in total assets and $84.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSW last traded at $30.10 (+7.23% on volume of 1,960,579 shares), positioning the stock +26.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.79) and +25.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.91). Across its 52-week range of $19.06 to $30.76, OSW sits at the 94.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($28.08 to $32.12).

OSW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does OSW pay a dividend and is it safe?

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) offers a 0.57% cash dividend yield ($0.17 annualized) and 2.37% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: OSW RQD Cockpit OSW 12M Forecast OSW Earnings & Move OSW Dividends & DRIP OSW Insiders & 13F OSW Whale Options OSW Profit Sankey OSW News & Why