MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
What Just Happened To Smurfit WestRock Stock?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Why OI Stock dropped -6.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.29 -6.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22
O-I Glass Inc. (OI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $814.4M
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Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $5.29 (-6.04% 1D, market cap $814.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #786 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $291.6M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?
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Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.22 (-1.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OI SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($168.0M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$6.08-4.1% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.83+11% Next Q
47
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$6.47-18.2% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D-$5.29-7% Hist 90D α
42
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OI Turnaround Squeeze
While OI currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.28) and Max Pain ($5.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.76.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OI Stock dropped -6.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
O-I Glass Inc. (OI) dropped -6.04% to $5.29, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5 – $16.91). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5 – $16.91) with RSI-14 at 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.1% around $5.29 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 17.3% gross margin and $168.0M annual free cash flow.
Live OI Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 3d ago
Why Is Smurfit WestRock Stock Falling?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
Citigroup Maintains Buy on O-I Glass, Lowers Price Target to $8Citigroup analyst Anthony Pettinari maintains O-I Glass (NYSE:OI) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $9 to $8.
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
Truist Securities Maintains Buy on O-I Glass, Lowers Price Target to $7Truist Securities analyst Michael Roxland maintains O-I Glass (NYSE:OI) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $8 to $7.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
What O-I Glass (OI) Said on Its Q3 Earnings CallO-I Glass (NYSE:OI) reported stable third-quarter sales but a sharp decline in adjusted earnings as pressure in Europe offset solid performance in the Americas. Management lowered its 2026 outlook, citing weaker volume,
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
O-I Glass: Q3 Earnings SnapshotPERRYSBURG, Ohio (AP) — PERRYSBURG, Ohio (AP) — O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) on Tuesday reported a loss of $13 million in its third quarter.
RISK WATCHYahoo • 4d ago
O-I Glass (OI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptEurope's margin collapse offset Americas strength as management cuts 2026 guidance.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
O-I Glass, Inc. 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-28. The following slide deck was published by O-I Glass, Inc.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptO-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call October 28, 2026 8:00 AM EDTCompany ParticipantsChristopher Manuel - Vice President of Investor RelationsGordon...
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
O-I Glass, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of O-I Glass, Inc.'s Q3 2026 earnings call
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OI)
- ✓Walkthrough of OI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.29H $5.34L $5.00C $5.29VOL 6.60M
RES: $6.49SUP: $4.69SMA50: $6.28SMA200: $9.47
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #786 of 1011
⚔️ PACK vs OI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OI vs. PACK, GPK, SON, REYN)
Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O-I Glass Inc. (OI) ranks #786 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #534 by equity capitalization ($814.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with OI at 42/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OI
ACTIVE
O-I Glass Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | 17.3% | -10.0% | -6.04% | $814.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | 39.3% | -2.2% | -10.05% | $291.6M | /pack-vs-oi → |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | C+ | 69/100 | 5.9x | 18.2% | 7.8% | +3.16% | $2.61B | /gpk-vs-oi → |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | D+ | 52/100 | 4.9x | 20.9% | 11.4% | +2.34% | $4.93B | /son-vs-oi → |
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | B | 75/100 | 16.5x | 24.6% | 13.4% | +2.39% | $4.97B | /reyn-vs-oi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000812074In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported GAAP revenue of $6.43B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.53B , and -9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$129.0M, operating cash flow of $600.0M, and free cash flow of $168.0M (+231.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OI closed FY2025 with $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $6.43B | -$129.0M | $600.0M | $168.0M | $9.24B | $4.84B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $6.53B | -$106.0M | $489.0M | -$128.0M | $8.65B | $4.55B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.11B | -$103.0M | $818.0M | $818.0M | — | — |
3. OI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $5.29 (-6.04% 1D, market cap $814.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #786 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $291.6M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?
Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OI last traded at $5.29 (-6.04% on volume of 5,406,576 shares), positioning the stock -15.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.28) and -44.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.47). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $16.91, OI sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.70 to $5.88).
OI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OI stock moving today?
Why OI Stock dropped -6.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.