Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ODD / financials

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ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (ODD) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$21.69 +3.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.90

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (ODD) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (73% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.90 (+0.95%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 10.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ODD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ODD SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 6 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$21.11+6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$22.43+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$22.65-4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$21.69+7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ODD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, ODD faces multiple-compression risk if 11.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 70.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($18.56) or 200D SMA ($17.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.54) toward Bear Floor ($17.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ODD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ODD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ODD Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$83.6M (10.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $508.7M

FY24

Rev $647.0M

FY25

Rev $809.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$809.8M	72.7%	14.7%	$110.7M	$83.6M	95%
FY 2024	$647.0M	72.4%	17.9%	$101.5M	$134.5M	39.4%
FY 2023	$508.7M	72.7%	14.6%	$58.5M	$87.5M	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ODD)

✓Walkthrough of ODD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ODD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +51.47%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $21.76H $22.03L $20.90C $21.69VOL 652.7K

RES: $24.35SUP: $14.41SMA50: $18.56SMA200: $17.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ODD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ODD Butterfly Map → + Track ODD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ODD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ODD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ODD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ODD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #56 of 1011 ⚔️ EPC vs ODD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ODD vs. EPC, SCL, COTY, IPAR)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (ODD) ranks #56 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #486 by equity capitalization ($1.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with ODD at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ODD ACTIVE ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)	B+	77/100	11.1x	72.7%	85.0%	+3.93%	$1.23B	Benchmark Subject
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company	C-	60/100	51.8x	41.6%	2.5%	+3.25%	$1.32B	/epc-vs-odd →
SCL Stepan Company	D+	55/100	33.9x	11.6%	4.3%	+2.31%	$1.59B	/scl-vs-odd →
COTY Coty Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	64.8%	3.1%	-0.30%	$2.95B	/coty-vs-odd →
IPAR Interparfums Inc.	A-	81/100	17.8x	63.6%	21.3%	+1.10%	$3.70B	/ipar-vs-odd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001907085

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (ODD) reported GAAP revenue of $809.8M (+25.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $647.0M , and +59.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $110.7M, operating cash flow of $87.6M, and free cash flow of $83.6M (-37.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ODD closed FY2025 with $1.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$809.8M	$110.7M	$87.6M	$83.6M	$1.14B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$647.0M	$101.5M	$137.8M	$134.5M	$438.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$508.7M	$58.5M	$87.5M	$87.5M	—	—

3. ODD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ODD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ODD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $21.69 (+3.93% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ODD ranks #56 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ODD compare to EPC and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), ODD carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.1x, gross margin of 72.7%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, EPC (Edgewell Personal Care Company) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 51.8x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $1.32B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODD?

Per ODD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001907085), ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) generated $809.8M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), $110.7M in net income, and $83.6M in free cash flow against $1.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ODD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ODD last traded at $21.69 (+3.93% on volume of 846,008 shares), positioning the stock +16.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.56) and +23.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.52). Across its 52-week range of $9.25 to $46.45, ODD sits at the 33.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.98 to $24.40).

ODD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A) (ODD)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ODD converted $809.8M of revenue into a 72.7% gross margin, 14.7% operating margin, and $83.6M in free cash flow (10.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ODD RQD Cockpit ODD 12M Forecast ODD Earnings & Move ODD Dividends & DRIP ODD Insiders & 13F ODD Whale Options ODD Profit Sankey ODD News & Why