MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NPKI Stock slipped -0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.20 -0.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.21
NPK International Inc. (NPKI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $951.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.21 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPKI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NPKI SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 7.02 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 36% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$11.34-5% Next Q
80
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$10.77+1.1% Next Q
77
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B+$10.89+2.8% Next Q
75
CurrentGrade B$11.20+7% Hist 90D α
72
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NPKI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 72/100 (B) score, NPKI faces multiple-compression risk if 24.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.06) or 200D SMA ($13.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.91) toward Bear Floor ($9.18).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPKI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NPKI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NPKI Stock slipped -0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NPK International Inc. (NPKI) slipped -0.88% to $11.20, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($8.24 – $16.5). High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($8.24 – $16.5) with RSI-14 at 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $11.20 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 36.4% gross margin and $26.3M annual free cash flow.
Live NPKI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NPKI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NPKI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.50%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $8.24H $11.20L $8.24C $11.20VOL 4.27M
RES: $12.01SUP: $8.15SMA50: $12.06SMA200: $13.86
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NPKI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +27.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPKI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPKI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPKI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPKI)
Industrials Rank #48 of 485
⚔️ WSC vs NPKI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NPKI vs. WSC, HRI, FTAI, NX)
Industry: Misc Corporate Leasing Services (4 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NPK International Inc. (NPKI) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #258 by equity capitalization ($951.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPKI leads on earnings valuation at 24.4x trailing P/E, while FTAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 46.2% gross margin. NPKI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NPKI
ACTIVE
NPK International Inc. | B | 72/100 | 24.4x | 36.4% | 10.3% | -0.88% | $951.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation | D | 44/100 | — | 51.0% | 4.9% | +3.28% | $3.36B | /wsc-vs-npki → |
| HRI Herc Holdings Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 0.0% | +4.68% | $5.82B | /hri-vs-npki → |
| FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. | D- | 39/100 | 65.6x | 46.2% | 18.0% | +17.27% | $20.13B | /ftai-vs-npki → |
| NX Quanex Building Products Corporation | D | 50/100 | — | 27.2% | -22.9% | +4.85% | $951.4M | /nx-vs-npki → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000071829In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NPK International Inc. (NPKI) reported GAAP revenue of $277.0M (+27.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $217.5M , and +33.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.9M, operating cash flow of $73.0M, and free cash flow of $26.3M (+590.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPKI closed FY2025 with $441.8M in total assets against $11.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.02, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $277.0M | $38.9M | $73.0M | $26.3M | $441.8M | $11.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $217.5M | -$150.3M | $38.2M | -$5.4M | $393.7M | $4.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $207.6M | $14.5M | $100.0M | $100.0M | — | — |
3. NPKI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NPKI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, NPK International Inc. (NYSE: NPKI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-0.88% 1D, market cap $951.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NPKI ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NPKI compare to WSC and HRI in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Misc Corporate Leasing Services), NPKI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.4x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, WSC (WillScot Holdings Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $3.36B) and HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPKI leads on earnings multiple (24.4x) while FTAI leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPKI?
Per NPKI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000071829), NPK International Inc. generated $277.0M in revenue (+27.4% YoY), $38.9M in net income, and $26.3M in free cash flow against $441.8M in total assets and $11.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NPKI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NPKI last traded at $11.20 (-0.88% on volume of 812,203 shares), positioning the stock -7.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.06) and -19.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.86). Across its 52-week range of $8.24 to $16.50, NPKI sits at the 35.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($10.18 to $12.22).
NPKI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NPKI stock moving today?
Why NPKI Stock slipped -0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.