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NPK International Inc. (NPKI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is NPKI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NPK International Inc. (NYSE: NPKI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-0.88% 1D, market cap $951.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NPKI ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NPKI compare to WSC and HRI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Misc Corporate Leasing Services), NPKI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.4x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, WSC (WillScot Holdings Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $3.36B) and HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPKI leads on earnings multiple (24.4x) while FTAI leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPKI?

Per NPKI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000071829), NPK International Inc. generated $277.0M in revenue (+27.4% YoY), $38.9M in net income, and $26.3M in free cash flow against $441.8M in total assets and $11.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NPKI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPKI last traded at $11.20 (-0.88% on volume of 812,203 shares), positioning the stock -7.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.06) and -19.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.86). Across its 52-week range of $8.24 to $16.50, NPKI sits at the 35.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($10.18 to $12.22).

Q: What is NPKI's 12-month stock price target?

NPK International Inc. (NPKI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.91 (+6.3% from $11.20), with a bull-case target of $17.32 and a bear-case floor of $9.18.

Q: Is NPKI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NPKI B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 72/100.

$11.20 -0.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.21

NPK International Inc. (NPKI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $951.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.21 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 9.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NPKI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NPKI SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.02 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 36% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$11.34-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$10.77+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$10.89+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B$11.20+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NPKI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, NPKI faces multiple-compression risk if 24.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.06) or 200D SMA ($13.86) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.91) toward Bear Floor ($9.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NPKI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NPKI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NPKI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.20: 892.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.18

$8,196

$-1,804 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.91

$10,634

+$634 (+6.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $17.32

$15,464

+$5,464 (+54.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$12	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$16	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$11	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NPKI Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NPKI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.50%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $8.24H $11.20L $8.24C $11.20VOL 4.27M

RES: $12.01SUP: $8.15SMA50: $12.06SMA200: $13.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NPKI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NPKI Butterfly Map → + Track NPKI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +27.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NPKI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NPKI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NPKI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NPKI)

Industrials Rank #48 of 485 ⚔️ WSC vs NPKI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NPKI vs. WSC, HRI, FTAI, NX)

Industry: Misc Corporate Leasing Services (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NPK International Inc. (NPKI) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #258 by equity capitalization ($951.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NPKI leads on earnings valuation at 24.4x trailing P/E, while FTAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 46.2% gross margin. NPKI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NPKI ACTIVE NPK International Inc.	B	72/100	24.4x	36.4%	10.3%	-0.88%	$951.0M	Benchmark Subject
WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation	D	44/100	—	51.0%	4.9%	+3.28%	$3.36B	/wsc-vs-npki →
HRI Herc Holdings Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	0.0%	+4.68%	$5.82B	/hri-vs-npki →
FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd.	D-	39/100	65.6x	46.2%	18.0%	+17.27%	$20.13B	/ftai-vs-npki →
NX Quanex Building Products Corporation	D	50/100	—	27.2%	-22.9%	+4.85%	$951.4M	/nx-vs-npki →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000071829

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NPK International Inc. (NPKI) reported GAAP revenue of $277.0M (+27.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $217.5M , and +33.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.9M, operating cash flow of $73.0M, and free cash flow of $26.3M (+590.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NPKI closed FY2025 with $441.8M in total assets against $11.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.02, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$277.0M	$38.9M	$73.0M	$26.3M	$441.8M	$11.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$217.5M	-$150.3M	$38.2M	-$5.4M	$393.7M	$4.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$207.6M	$14.5M	$100.0M	$100.0M	—	—

3. NPKI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NPKI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, NPK International Inc. (NYSE: NPKI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $11.20 (-0.88% 1D, market cap $951.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NPKI ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NPKI compare to WSC and HRI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Misc Corporate Leasing Services), NPKI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.4x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 10.3%. By comparison, WSC (WillScot Holdings Corporation) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $3.36B) and HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $5.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NPKI leads on earnings multiple (24.4x) while FTAI leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NPKI?

Per NPKI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000071829), NPK International Inc. generated $277.0M in revenue (+27.4% YoY), $38.9M in net income, and $26.3M in free cash flow against $441.8M in total assets and $11.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NPKI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NPKI last traded at $11.20 (-0.88% on volume of 812,203 shares), positioning the stock -7.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.06) and -19.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.86). Across its 52-week range of $8.24 to $16.50, NPKI sits at the 35.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($10.18 to $12.22).

NPKI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NPKI's 12-month stock price target?

NPK International Inc. (NPKI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.91 (+6.3% from $11.20), with a bull-case target of $17.32 and a bear-case floor of $9.18.

Is NPKI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NPKI B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 72/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NPKI RQD Cockpit NPKI 12M Forecast NPKI Earnings & Move NPKI Dividends & DRIP NPKI Insiders & 13F NPKI Whale Options NPKI Profit Sankey NPKI News & Why