Stock Ratings / Financials / NHP / earnings

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National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.3% Move

$14.96 +1.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98

National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.09B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NHP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NHP SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$15.55-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$15.11+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.51-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$14.96-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NHP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NHP currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.82) and Max Pain ($15.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NHP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NHP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.3% Swing Band

±$1.54 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NHP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.3%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$342.3M	$0	$7.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$353.8M	$0	-$79.8M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$345.9M	$0	$21.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NHP)

✓Walkthrough of NHP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $14.85H $15.16L $14.63C $14.96VOL 1.16M

RES: $19.63SUP: $14.23SMA50: $15.82SMA200: $15.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NHP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NHP Butterfly Map → + Track NHP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NHP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NHP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NHP)

Financials Rank #761 of 1096 ⚔️ DEA vs NHP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NHP vs. DEA, LADR, CSR, ORC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) ranks #761 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #531 by equity capitalization ($1.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ORC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CSR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with NHP at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NHP ACTIVE National Healthcare Properties Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	0.5%	+1.77%	$1.09B	Benchmark Subject
DEA Easterly Government Properties Inc.	D+	52/100	82.4x	—	1.0%	+0.58%	$1.07B	/dea-vs-nhp →
LADR Ladder Capital Corp (Class A)	C	64/100	18.5x	—	4.3%	0.00%	$1.18B	/ladr-vs-nhp →
CSR D/B/A Centerspace	C+	66/100	57.7x	—	7.2%	+4.02%	$986.3M	/csr-vs-nhp →
ORC Orchid Island Capital Inc.	C	65/100	6.1x	—	11.6%	-0.20%	$970.8M	/orc-vs-nhp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001561032

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) reported GAAP revenue of $342.3M (-3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $353.8M , and -1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $7.0M, and free cash flow of $7.0M (+108.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NHP closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$342.3M	$0	$7.0M	$7.0M	$1.71B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$353.8M	$0	-$79.8M	-$79.8M	$1.95B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$345.9M	$0	$21.6M	$21.6M	—	—

3. NHP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NHP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NASDAQ: NHP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $14.96 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $1.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NHP ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NHP compare to DEA and LADR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NHP carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, DEA (Easterly Government Properties Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 82.4x, ROIC 1.0%, cap $1.07B) and LADR (Ladder Capital Corp (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHP?

Per NHP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561032), National Healthcare Properties Inc. generated $342.3M in revenue (-3.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NHP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NHP last traded at $14.96 (+1.77% on volume of 958,168 shares), positioning the stock -5.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.82) and -1.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.17). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $17.46, NHP sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($13.42 to $16.50).

NHP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NHP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NHP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.3% event move for NHP, spanning a range between $13.42 and $16.5.

Direct Sub-Reports: NHP RQD Cockpit NHP 12M Forecast NHP Earnings & Move NHP Dividends & DRIP NHP Insiders & 13F NHP Whale Options NHP Profit Sankey NHP News & Why