Stock Ratings / Financials / NHP / dividends

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National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$14.96 +1.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98

National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.09B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98 (+0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NHP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NHP SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$15.55-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$15.11+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.51-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$14.96-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NHP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NHP currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.82) and Max Pain ($15.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NHP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NHP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NHP)

✓Walkthrough of NHP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.69%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $14.85H $15.16L $14.63C $14.96VOL 1.16M

RES: $19.63SUP: $14.23SMA50: $15.82SMA200: $15.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NHP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NHP Butterfly Map → + Track NHP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NHP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NHP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NHP)

Financials Rank #761 of 1096 ⚔️ DEA vs NHP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NHP vs. DEA, LADR, CSR, ORC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) ranks #761 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #531 by equity capitalization ($1.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORC leads on earnings valuation at 6.1x trailing P/E, while ORC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CSR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with NHP at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NHP ACTIVE National Healthcare Properties Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	0.5%	+1.77%	$1.09B	Benchmark Subject
DEA Easterly Government Properties Inc.	D+	52/100	82.4x	—	1.0%	+0.58%	$1.07B	/dea-vs-nhp →
LADR Ladder Capital Corp (Class A)	C	64/100	18.5x	—	4.3%	0.00%	$1.18B	/ladr-vs-nhp →
CSR D/B/A Centerspace	C+	66/100	57.7x	—	7.2%	+4.02%	$986.3M	/csr-vs-nhp →
ORC Orchid Island Capital Inc.	C	65/100	6.1x	—	11.6%	-0.20%	$970.8M	/orc-vs-nhp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001561032

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) reported GAAP revenue of $342.3M (-3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $353.8M , and -1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $7.0M, and free cash flow of $7.0M (+108.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NHP closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$342.3M	$0	$7.0M	$7.0M	$1.71B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$353.8M	$0	-$79.8M	-$79.8M	$1.95B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$345.9M	$0	$21.6M	$21.6M	—	—

3. NHP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NHP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NASDAQ: NHP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $14.96 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $1.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NHP ranks #761 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NHP compare to DEA and LADR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NHP carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, DEA (Easterly Government Properties Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 82.4x, ROIC 1.0%, cap $1.07B) and LADR (Ladder Capital Corp (Class A)) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORC leads on earnings multiple (6.1x) while ORC leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHP?

Per NHP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561032), National Healthcare Properties Inc. generated $342.3M in revenue (-3.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $7.0M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NHP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NHP last traded at $14.96 (+1.77% on volume of 958,168 shares), positioning the stock -5.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.82) and -1.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.17). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $17.46, NHP sits at the 59.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($13.42 to $16.50).

NHP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NHP pay a dividend and is it safe?

National Healthcare Properties Inc. (NHP) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: NHP RQD Cockpit NHP 12M Forecast NHP Earnings & Move NHP Dividends & DRIP NHP Insiders & 13F NHP Whale Options NHP Profit Sankey NHP News & Why