Why NCT Stock dropped -3.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.49 -3.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.8M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (-3.87% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.3M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?
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Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48 (-0.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.4% Base Target
$748 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE NCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCT SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.3% FCF Margin ($6.3M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.35+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$1.39+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$1.48+0.7% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$1.49-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCT currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.12) and Max Pain ($1.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $748.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NCT Stock dropped -3.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) dropped -3.87% to $1.49, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.22 – $712.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.22 – $712.5) with RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 31.2% gross margin and $6.3M annual free cash flow.
Live NCT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 6d ago
12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Monday's Intraday Session

Gainers GrafTech International (NYSE:EAF) stock moved upwards by 33.1% to $11.32 during Monday&#39;s regular session. The company&#39;s market cap stands at $200.3 million. The company&#39;s, Q3 earnings came out

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $1.56H $1.56L $1.49C $1.49VOL 27.4K
RES: $157.8SUP: $-18.76SMA50: $22.12SMA200: $69.25
$608.6$444.0$279.4$114.8$-49.87RES $157.8SUP $-18.76$1.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #718 of 1011 ⚔️ BTBD vs NCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCT vs. BTBD, REBN, GTIM, ARKR)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #970 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while NCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and 31.2% gross margin. BTBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with NCT at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCT ACTIVE
Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 31.2% 15.7% -3.87% $4.8M Benchmark Subject
BTBD
BT Brands Inc.
D 49/100 — — -3.5% +0.55% $11.3M /btbd-vs-nct →
REBN
Reborn Coffee Inc.
E 34/100 — 92.0% -35.0% +1.27% $13.5M /rebn-vs-nct →
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants Inc.
D- 39/100 13.3x — 0.7% 0.00% $13.6M /gtim-vs-nct →
ARKR
Ark Restaurants Corp.
E 24/100 — — -13.1% +7.97% $16.7M /arkr-vs-nct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002018529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) reported GAAP revenue of $25.1M (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M , and -22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.1M, operating cash flow of $7.4M, and free cash flow of $6.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCT closed FY2025 with $63.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.64, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $25.1M $3.1M $7.4M $6.3M $63.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $25.5M $3.1M $6.5M $5.8M $63.3M $2.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $32.4M $10.9M $13.6M $13.6M — —

3. NCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (-3.87% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.3M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCT last traded at $1.49 (-3.87% on volume of 16,320 shares), positioning the stock -93.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.12) and -97.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($69.25). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $712.50, NCT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.68).

NCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NCT stock moving today?

Why NCT Stock dropped -3.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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