Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NCT / dividends

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Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.55 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #695 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.3M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is NCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCT last traded at $1.55 (-0.64% on volume of 27,357 shares), positioning the stock -93.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.15) and -97.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($69.92). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $712.50, NCT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.74).

Q: Does NCT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$1.55 -0.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (-0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCT SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.3% FCF Margin ($6.3M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.49-9.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.35-6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.26+23% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.55-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCT currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.15) and Max Pain ($1.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $748.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCT)

✓Walkthrough of NCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -97.78%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.43H $1.55L $1.43C $1.55VOL 16.1K

RES: $157.7SUP: $-18.13SMA50: $24.15SMA200: $69.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCT Butterfly Map → + Track NCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #695 of 1011 ⚔️ BTBD vs NCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCT vs. BTBD, REBN, GTIM, ARKR)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) ranks #695 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #970 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while NCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and 31.2% gross margin. GTIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with NCT at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCT ACTIVE Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A)	D	48/100	—	31.2%	15.7%	-0.64%	$4.8M	Benchmark Subject
BTBD BT Brands Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-3.5%	-2.66%	$11.3M	/btbd-vs-nct →
REBN Reborn Coffee Inc.	E	32/100	—	92.0%	-35.0%	-1.26%	$13.5M	/rebn-vs-nct →
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc.	D	49/100	13.3x	—	0.7%	0.00%	$13.6M	/gtim-vs-nct →
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp.	E	26/100	—	—	-13.1%	0.00%	$16.7M	/arkr-vs-nct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002018529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) reported GAAP revenue of $25.1M (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M , and -22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.1M, operating cash flow of $7.4M, and free cash flow of $6.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCT closed FY2025 with $63.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.64, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$25.1M	$3.1M	$7.4M	$6.3M	$63.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$25.5M	$3.1M	$6.5M	$5.8M	$63.3M	$2.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$32.4M	$10.9M	$13.6M	$13.6M	—	—

3. NCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.55 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #695 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.3M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCT last traded at $1.55 (-0.64% on volume of 27,357 shares), positioning the stock -93.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.15) and -97.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($69.92). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $712.50, NCT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.36 to $1.74).

NCT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NCT pay a dividend and is it safe?

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: NCT RQD Cockpit NCT 12M Forecast NCT Earnings & Move NCT Dividends & DRIP NCT Insiders & 13F NCT Whale Options NCT Profit Sankey NCT News & Why