Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NCT / financials

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Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NCT converted $25.1M of revenue into a 31.2% gross margin, 19.5% operating margin, and $6.3M in free cash flow (25.3% FCF margin).

$1.49 -3.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48

Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NCT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (-3.87% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCT ranks #718 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), NCT carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 15.7%. By comparison, BTBD (BT Brands Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.5%, cap $11.3M) and REBN (Reborn Coffee Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTIM leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while NCT leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

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Per NCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0002018529), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) generated $25.1M in revenue (-1.5% YoY), $3.1M in net income, and $6.3M in free cash flow against $63.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.48 (-0.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCT SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.3% FCF Margin ($6.3M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.35+3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.39+6.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.48+0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.49-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCT currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.12) and Max Pain ($1.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $748.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NCT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$6.3M (25.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $32.4M

FY24

Rev $25.5M

FY25

Rev $25.1M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$25.1M	31.2%	19.5%	$3.1M	$6.3M	15.7%
FY 2024	$25.5M	28.8%	19.9%	$3.1M	$5.8M	26.3%
FY 2023	$32.4M	31.2%	41.6%	$10.9M	$13.6M	15.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCT)

✓Walkthrough of NCT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.05%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $1.56H $1.56L $1.49C $1.49VOL 27.4K

RES: $157.8SUP: $-18.76SMA50: $22.12SMA200: $69.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCT Butterfly Map → + Track NCT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #718 of 1011 ⚔️ BTBD vs NCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCT vs. BTBD, REBN, GTIM, ARKR)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) ranks #718 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #970 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTIM leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while NCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and 31.2% gross margin. BTBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with NCT at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCT ACTIVE Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	31.2%	15.7%	-3.87%	$4.8M	Benchmark Subject
BTBD BT Brands Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	-3.5%	+0.55%	$11.3M	/btbd-vs-nct →
REBN Reborn Coffee Inc.	E	34/100	—	92.0%	-35.0%	+1.27%	$13.5M	/rebn-vs-nct →
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc.	D-	39/100	13.3x	—	0.7%	0.00%	$13.6M	/gtim-vs-nct →
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp.	E	24/100	—	—	-13.1%	+7.97%	$16.7M	/arkr-vs-nct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0002018529

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Intercont (Cayman) Limited (Class A) (NCT) reported GAAP revenue of $25.1M (-1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M , and -22.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.1M, operating cash flow of $7.4M, and free cash flow of $6.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCT closed FY2025 with $63.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.64, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$25.1M	$3.1M	$7.4M	$6.3M	$63.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$25.5M	$3.1M	$6.5M	$5.8M	$63.3M	$2.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$32.4M	$10.9M	$13.6M	$13.6M	—	—

3. NCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NCT compare to BTBD and REBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCT?

Where is NCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCT last traded at $1.49 (-3.87% on volume of 16,320 shares), positioning the stock -93.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.12) and -97.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($69.25). Across its 52-week range of $1.22 to $712.50, NCT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.30 to $1.68).