MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why NCRA Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.50 +3.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51
Nocera Inc. (NCRA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51 (+0.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCRA SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$1.61+1.9% Next Q
51
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.64-12.8% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.43+4.9% Next Q
46
CurrentGrade D-$1.50-6.7% Hist 90D α
43
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCRA Turnaround Squeeze
While NCRA currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.78) and Max Pain ($1.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.60.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NCRA Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Nocera Inc. (NCRA) surged +3.45% to $1.50, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.3 – $72). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.3 – $72) with RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.50 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 1.5% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live NCRA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCRA)
- ✓Walkthrough of NCRA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.64%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $1.49H $1.55L $1.45C $1.50VOL 4.3K
RES: $1.30SUP: $1.40SMA50: $1.78SMA200: $5.87
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NCRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -35.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCRA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCRA)
Consumer Staples Rank #113 of 146
⚔️ MGN vs NCRA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (NCRA vs. MGN, AGRZ, EDBL, SEED)
Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nocera Inc. (NCRA) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #137 by equity capitalization ($3.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGN leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while MGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.0% ROIC and 1.7% gross margin. AGRZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NCRA at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCRA
ACTIVE
Nocera Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 1.5% | — | +3.45% | $3.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| MGN Megan Holdings Limited (Class A) | D- | 43/100 | 22.8x | 1.7% | 1.0% | +11.42% | $4.9M | /mgn-vs-ncra → |
| AGRZ Agroz Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.22% | $5.3M | /agrz-vs-ncra → |
| EDBL Edible Garden AG Incorporated | D | 47/100 | — | -1.6% | -35.0% | +7.59% | $1.5M | /edbl-vs-ncra → |
| SEED Origin Agritech Limited | D | 50/100 | — | 7.0% | — | -4.93% | $10.6M | /seed-vs-ncra → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001756180In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nocera Inc. (NCRA) reported GAAP revenue of $11.0M (-35.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.0M , and -53.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.6M, and free cash flow of -$2.6M (-24.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCRA closed FY2025 with $10.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $11.0M | -$2.9M | -$2.6M | -$2.6M | $10.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $17.0M | -$4.5M | -$2.1M | -$2.1M | $2.9M | $0 |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $23.9M | -$4.1M | -$1.1M | -$1.1M | — | — |
3. NCRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NCRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Nocera Inc. (NASDAQ: NCRA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $1.50 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, NCRA ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NCRA compare to MGN and AGRZ in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), NCRA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 1.5%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MGN (Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 1.0%, cap $4.9M) and AGRZ (Agroz Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCRA?
Per NCRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001756180), Nocera Inc. generated $11.0M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NCRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NCRA last traded at $1.50 (+3.45% on volume of 20,025 shares), positioning the stock -15.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.78) and -74.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $72.00, NCRA sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.31 to $1.69).
NCRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NCRA stock moving today?
Why NCRA Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.