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Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.75 -4.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

43.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

1 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE8% OF RANGE

L: $1$0.75H: $2

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (7% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SEED

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 7.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (50)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SEED

✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEED)

✓Walkthrough of SEED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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SEED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.78%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $0.75H $0.79L $0.75C $0.75VOL 12.1K

RES: $1.05SUP: $0.57SMA50: $0.90SMA200: $1.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEED Butterfly Map → + Track SEED →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -20.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEED today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEED)

Consumer Staples Rank #93 of 146 ⚔️ TULP vs SEED Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SEED vs. TULP, AGRZ, LOCL, MGN)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) ranks #93 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #125 by equity capitalization ($10.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGN leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while MGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.0% ROIC and 1.7% gross margin. AGRZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with SEED at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SEED ACTIVE Origin Agritech Limited	D	50/100	—	7.0%	—	-4.93%	$10.6M	Benchmark Subject
TULP Bloomia Holdings Inc.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$10.9M	/tulp-vs-seed →
AGRZ Agroz Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.22%	$5.3M	/agrz-vs-seed →
LOCL Local Bounti Corporation	D	45/100	—	12.1%	-15.8%	+0.05%	$21.6M	/locl-vs-seed →
MGN Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	43/100	22.8x	1.7%	1.0%	+11.42%	$4.9M	/mgn-vs-seed →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001321851

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) reported GAAP revenue of $12.8M (-20.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.2M , and -1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.5M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$4.8M (-68.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEED closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$12.8M	-$7.5M	-$3.2M	-$4.8M	$14.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$16.2M	$3.0M	-$2.1M	-$2.9M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$13.0M	$7.7M	-$759.0K	-$759.0K	—	—

3. SEED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Origin Agritech Limited (NASDAQ: SEED) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $0.75 (-4.93% 1D, market cap $10.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SEED ranks #93 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SEED compare to TULP and AGRZ in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), SEED carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TULP (Bloomia Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M) and AGRZ (Agroz Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEED?

Per SEED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001321851), Origin Agritech Limited generated $12.8M in revenue (-20.6% YoY), -$7.5M in net income, and -$4.8M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SEED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEED last traded at $0.75 (-4.93% on volume of 26,551 shares), positioning the stock -16.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.90) and -29.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.07). Across its 52-week range of $0.66 to $1.79, SEED sits at the 8.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.84).

SEED Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SEED stock right now?

Origin Agritech Limited (SEED) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (7% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SEED's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SEED's 12-month base price target is $0.72 (range $0.56 to $1.88), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SEED RQD Cockpit SEED 12M Forecast SEED Earnings & Move SEED Dividends & DRIP SEED Insiders & 13F SEED Whale Options SEED Profit Sankey SEED News & Why