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Nocera Inc. (NCRA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.50 +3.45% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51

Nocera Inc. (NCRA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.51 (+0.43%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCRA SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.61+1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.64-12.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.43+4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.50-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCRA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCRA currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.78) and Max Pain ($1.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $75.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NCRA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.50: 6666.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.09

$7,267

$-2,733 (-27.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.40

$9,333

$-667 (-6.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $75.60

$504,000

+$494,000 (+4940.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$71	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCRA)

✓Walkthrough of NCRA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NCRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -76.64%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $1.49H $1.55L $1.45C $1.50VOL 4.3K

RES: $1.30SUP: $1.40SMA50: $1.78SMA200: $5.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCRA Butterfly Map → + Track NCRA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -35.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCRA)

Consumer Staples Rank #113 of 146 ⚔️ MGN vs NCRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (NCRA vs. MGN, AGRZ, EDBL, SEED)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nocera Inc. (NCRA) ranks #113 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #137 by equity capitalization ($3.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGN leads on earnings valuation at 22.8x trailing P/E, while MGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.0% ROIC and 1.7% gross margin. AGRZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NCRA at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCRA ACTIVE Nocera Inc.	D-	43/100	—	1.5%	—	+3.45%	$3.6M	Benchmark Subject
MGN Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	43/100	22.8x	1.7%	1.0%	+11.42%	$4.9M	/mgn-vs-ncra →
AGRZ Agroz Inc. (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.22%	$5.3M	/agrz-vs-ncra →
EDBL Edible Garden AG Incorporated	D	47/100	—	-1.6%	-35.0%	+7.59%	$1.5M	/edbl-vs-ncra →
SEED Origin Agritech Limited	D	50/100	—	7.0%	—	-4.93%	$10.6M	/seed-vs-ncra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001756180

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nocera Inc. (NCRA) reported GAAP revenue of $11.0M (-35.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.0M , and -53.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.6M, and free cash flow of -$2.6M (-24.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCRA closed FY2025 with $10.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$11.0M	-$2.9M	-$2.6M	-$2.6M	$10.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.0M	-$4.5M	-$2.1M	-$2.1M	$2.9M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$23.9M	-$4.1M	-$1.1M	-$1.1M	—	—

3. NCRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Nocera Inc. (NASDAQ: NCRA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $1.50 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, NCRA ranks #113 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCRA compare to MGN and AGRZ in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), NCRA carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 1.5%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MGN (Megan Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 1.0%, cap $4.9M) and AGRZ (Agroz Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGN leads on earnings multiple (22.8x) while MGN leads on capital efficiency (1.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCRA?

Per NCRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001756180), Nocera Inc. generated $11.0M in revenue (-35.2% YoY), -$2.9M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $10.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCRA last traded at $1.50 (+3.45% on volume of 20,025 shares), positioning the stock -15.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.78) and -74.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $72.00, NCRA sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.31 to $1.69).

NCRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NCRA's 12-month stock price target?

Nocera Inc. (NCRA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.4 (-6.7% from $1.50), with a bull-case target of $75.6 and a bear-case floor of $1.09.

Is NCRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NCRA D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 43/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NCRA RQD Cockpit NCRA 12M Forecast NCRA Earnings & Move NCRA Dividends & DRIP NCRA Insiders & 13F NCRA Whale Options NCRA Profit Sankey NCRA News & Why