MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why NABL Stock dropped -2.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.18 -2.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.15
N-able Inc. (NABL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $978.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.15 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NABL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NABL SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (30% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 39% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.8% FCF Margin ($75.1M FCF) & 76.9% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$4.63-3.2% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$4.48+14.3% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$5.12+1.2% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D+$5.18-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NABL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NABL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 74.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.29) or 200D SMA ($4.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.16) toward Bear Floor ($4.02).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NABL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NABL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why NABL Stock dropped -2.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
N-able Inc. (NABL) dropped -2.08% to $5.18, trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($2.92 – $8.74). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($2.92 – $8.74) with RSI-14 at 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $5.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 76.9% gross margin and $75.1M annual free cash flow.
Live NABL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NABL)
- ✓Walkthrough of NABL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NABL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $5.13H $5.30L $4.99C $5.18VOL 1.18M
RES: $5.35SUP: $3.08SMA50: $4.29SMA200: $4.50
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
NABL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NABL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NABL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NABL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NABL)
Technology Rank #298 of 714
⚔️ TUYA vs NABL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NABL vs. TUYA, RPD, COUR, RCAT)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, N-able Inc. (NABL) ranks #298 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #354 by equity capitalization ($978.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. TUYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with NABL at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NABL
ACTIVE
N-able Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | 76.9% | 2.5% | -2.08% | $978.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| TUYA Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share | B | 72/100 | 17.6x | 48.2% | 6.9% | +3.75% | $1.02B | /tuya-vs-nabl → |
| RPD Rapid7 Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 49.2x | 70.3% | 15.9% | -3.39% | $1.15B | /rpd-vs-nabl → |
| COUR Coursera Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | — | 54.6% | -35.0% | -0.85% | $1.23B | /cour-vs-nabl → |
| RCAT Red Cat Holdings Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | 3.1% | -21.4% | +2.85% | $771.2M | /rcat-vs-nabl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001834488In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), N-able Inc. (NABL) reported GAAP revenue of $508.8M (+9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $465.6M , and +20.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.8M, operating cash flow of $93.2M, and free cash flow of $75.1M (+21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NABL closed FY2025 with $1.41B in total assets against $389.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $508.8M | -$18.8M | $93.2M | $75.1M | $1.41B | $389.9M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $465.6M | $30.7M | $79.4M | $61.9M | $1.34B | $329.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $422.2M | $23.8M | $90.1M | $90.1M | — | — |
3. NABL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NABL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, N-able Inc. (NYSE: NABL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $5.18 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $978.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NABL ranks #298 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NABL compare to TUYA and RPD in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), NABL carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 76.9%, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, TUYA (Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $1.02B) and RPD (Rapid7 Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 49.2x, ROIC 15.9%, cap $1.15B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NABL?
Per NABL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001834488), N-able Inc. generated $508.8M in revenue (+9.3% YoY), -$18.8M in net income, and $75.1M in free cash flow against $1.41B in total assets and $389.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NABL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NABL last traded at $5.18 (-2.08% on volume of 1,004,634 shares), positioning the stock +20.75% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.29) and +15.11% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.50). Across its 52-week range of $2.92 to $8.74, NABL sits at the 38.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($4.71 to $5.65).
NABL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NABL stock moving today?
Why NABL Stock dropped -2.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.