MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MSGE Stock surged +2.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$81.08 +2.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.85B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30 (+0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSGE SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($115.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$80.84-3.8% Next Q
50
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$77.76+0.1% Next Q
53
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$77.81+4.2% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$81.08+0% Hist 90D α
58
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSGE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MSGE faces multiple-compression risk if 102.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Priced at 103x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.23) or 200D SMA ($70.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.08) toward Bear Floor ($63.24).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MSGE Stock surged +2.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) surged +2.57% to $81.08, trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($43.33 – $90.41). Stretched risk/reward at 103x P/E (22% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($43.33 – $90.41) with RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $81.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $115.3M annual free cash flow.
Live MSGE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSGE)
- ✓Walkthrough of MSGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MSGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.16%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $81.64H $81.90L $79.75C $81.08VOL 340.2K
RES: $83.86SUP: $76.74SMA50: $79.23SMA200: $70.50
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MSGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSGE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSGE)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #440 of 1011
⚔️ SPHR vs MSGE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSGE vs. SPHR, MANU, BATRA, BATRK)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($3.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSGE leads on earnings valuation at 102.7x trailing P/E, while MSGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MANU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with MSGE at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSGE
ACTIVE
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | 102.7x | — | 22.2% | +2.57% | $3.85B | Benchmark Subject |
| SPHR Sphere Entertainment Co. | D- | 43/100 | 121.6x | — | -7.3% | +1.14% | $4.06B | /sphr-vs-msge → |
| MANU Manchester United Ltd. (Class A) | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +1.01% | $3.62B | /manu-vs-msge → |
| BATRA Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series A) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -1.1% | +0.48% | $3.50B | /batra-vs-msge → |
| BATRK Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series C) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -1.1% | +0.84% | $3.22B | /batrk-vs-msge → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001952073In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) reported GAAP revenue of $942.7M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $959.3M , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.4M, operating cash flow of $115.3M, and free cash flow of $115.3M (+3.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSGE closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $554.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $942.7M | $37.4M | $115.3M | $115.3M | $1.82B | $554.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $959.3M | $144.3M | $111.3M | $111.3M | $1.59B | $584.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $779.8M | $76.0M | $135.7M | $135.7M | — | — |
3. MSGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MSGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: MSGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $81.08 (+2.57% 1D, market cap $3.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSGE ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MSGE compare to SPHR and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), MSGE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 102.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 121.6x, ROIC -7.3%, cap $4.06B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSGE?
Per MSGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001952073), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) generated $942.7M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $115.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $554.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MSGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MSGE last traded at $81.08 (+2.57% on volume of 322,245 shares), positioning the stock +2.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.23) and +15.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.50). Across its 52-week range of $43.33 to $90.41, MSGE sits at the 80.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($76.22 to $85.94).
MSGE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MSGE stock moving today?
Why MSGE Stock surged +2.57% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 103x P/E (22% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.