Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MSGE / earnings

SPHR (43) MANU (61) BATRA (39) BATRK (39) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6% Move

$81.08 +2.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30 (+0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSGE SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($115.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$80.84-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$77.76+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$77.81+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$81.08+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSGE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MSGE faces multiple-compression risk if 102.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 103x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.23) or 200D SMA ($70.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.08) toward Bear Floor ($63.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6% Swing Band

±$4.86 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MSGE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $0.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: -1.7%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-06-30	$942.7M	$37.4M	$115.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-06-30	$959.3M	$144.3M	$111.3M	52%
FY 2023	2023-06-30	$779.8M	$76.0M	$135.7M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSGE)

✓Walkthrough of MSGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MSGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.16%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $81.64H $81.90L $79.75C $81.08VOL 340.2K

RES: $83.86SUP: $76.74SMA50: $79.23SMA200: $70.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSGE Butterfly Map → + Track MSGE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSGE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSGE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #440 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHR vs MSGE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSGE vs. SPHR, MANU, BATRA, BATRK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($3.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSGE leads on earnings valuation at 102.7x trailing P/E, while MSGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MANU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with MSGE at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSGE ACTIVE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)	D+	58/100	102.7x	—	22.2%	+2.57%	$3.85B	Benchmark Subject
SPHR Sphere Entertainment Co.	D-	43/100	121.6x	—	-7.3%	+1.14%	$4.06B	/sphr-vs-msge →
MANU Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.01%	$3.62B	/manu-vs-msge →
BATRA Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-1.1%	+0.48%	$3.50B	/batra-vs-msge →
BATRK Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series C)	D-	39/100	—	—	-1.1%	+0.84%	$3.22B	/batrk-vs-msge →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001952073

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) reported GAAP revenue of $942.7M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $959.3M , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.4M, operating cash flow of $115.3M, and free cash flow of $115.3M (+3.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSGE closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $554.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$942.7M	$37.4M	$115.3M	$115.3M	$1.82B	$554.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$959.3M	$144.3M	$111.3M	$111.3M	$1.59B	$584.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$779.8M	$76.0M	$135.7M	$135.7M	—	—

3. MSGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: MSGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $81.08 (+2.57% 1D, market cap $3.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSGE ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSGE compare to SPHR and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), MSGE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 102.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 121.6x, ROIC -7.3%, cap $4.06B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSGE?

Per MSGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001952073), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) generated $942.7M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $115.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $554.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSGE last traded at $81.08 (+2.57% on volume of 322,245 shares), positioning the stock +2.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.23) and +15.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.50). Across its 52-week range of $43.33 to $90.41, MSGE sits at the 80.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($76.22 to $85.94).

MSGE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MSGE's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is MSGE stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6% event move for MSGE, spanning a range between $76.22 and $85.94.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSGE RQD Cockpit MSGE 12M Forecast MSGE Earnings & Move MSGE Dividends & DRIP MSGE Insiders & 13F MSGE Whale Options MSGE Profit Sankey MSGE News & Why