Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MSGE

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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$81.08 +2.57% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.30 (+0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSGE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSGE SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($115.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$80.84-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$77.76+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$77.81+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$81.08+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSGE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MSGE faces multiple-compression risk if 102.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 103x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($79.23) or 200D SMA ($70.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.08) toward Bear Floor ($63.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSGE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSGE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

53.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.07>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE80% OF RANGE

L: $43$81.08H: $90

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MSGE

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

22.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 2.07 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MSGE

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Priced at 103x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSGE)

✓Walkthrough of MSGE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MSGE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.16%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $81.64H $81.90L $79.75C $81.08VOL 340.2K

RES: $83.86SUP: $76.74SMA50: $79.23SMA200: $70.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSGE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSGE Butterfly Map → + Track MSGE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSGE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSGE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSGE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSGE)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #440 of 1011 ⚔️ SPHR vs MSGE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MSGE vs. SPHR, MANU, BATRA, BATRK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) ranks #440 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #323 by equity capitalization ($3.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSGE leads on earnings valuation at 102.7x trailing P/E, while MSGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MANU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with MSGE at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSGE ACTIVE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)	D+	58/100	102.7x	—	22.2%	+2.57%	$3.85B	Benchmark Subject
SPHR Sphere Entertainment Co.	D-	43/100	121.6x	—	-7.3%	+1.14%	$4.06B	/sphr-vs-msge →
MANU Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.01%	$3.62B	/manu-vs-msge →
BATRA Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series A)	D-	39/100	—	—	-1.1%	+0.48%	$3.50B	/batra-vs-msge →
BATRK Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series C)	D-	39/100	—	—	-1.1%	+0.84%	$3.22B	/batrk-vs-msge →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001952073

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) reported GAAP revenue of $942.7M (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $959.3M , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.4M, operating cash flow of $115.3M, and free cash flow of $115.3M (+3.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSGE closed FY2025 with $1.82B in total assets against $554.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$942.7M	$37.4M	$115.3M	$115.3M	$1.82B	$554.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$959.3M	$144.3M	$111.3M	$111.3M	$1.59B	$584.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$779.8M	$76.0M	$135.7M	$135.7M	—	—

3. MSGE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSGE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: MSGE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $81.08 (+2.57% 1D, market cap $3.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MSGE ranks #440 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSGE compare to SPHR and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), MSGE carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 102.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 22.2%. By comparison, SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 121.6x, ROIC -7.3%, cap $4.06B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSGE?

Per MSGE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001952073), Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) generated $942.7M in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $37.4M in net income, and $115.3M in free cash flow against $1.82B in total assets and $554.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSGE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSGE last traded at $81.08 (+2.57% on volume of 322,245 shares), positioning the stock +2.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($79.23) and +15.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.50). Across its 52-week range of $43.33 to $90.41, MSGE sits at the 80.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($76.22 to $85.94).

MSGE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MSGE stock right now?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) (MSGE) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 58/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 103x P/E (22% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MSGE's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MSGE's 12-month base price target is $81.08 (range $63.24 to $95.67), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSGE RQD Cockpit MSGE 12M Forecast MSGE Earnings & Move MSGE Dividends & DRIP MSGE Insiders & 13F MSGE Whale Options MSGE Profit Sankey MSGE News & Why