MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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Why MQ Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.07 -0.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.02
Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (MQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.88B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.07 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MQ ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MQ compare to NYAX and CNXC in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MQ carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and CNXC (Concentrix Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRGS leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while PRGS leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MQ?
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Per MQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001522540), Marqeta Inc. (Class A) generated $624.9M in revenue (+23.3% YoY), -$13.9M in net income, and $160.8M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.02 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 25.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MQ SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (31% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.7% FCF Margin ($160.8M FCF) & 70% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$18.11+3.2% Next Q
53
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$18.69+0.9% Next Q
50
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$18.85-4.1% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$18.07-6.3% Hist 90D α
45
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MQ Turnaround Squeeze
While MQ currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.10) and Max Pain ($18.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.39.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MQ Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (MQ) slipped -0.44% to $18.07, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($14.8 – $22.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($14.8 – $22.28) with RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $18.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 70% gross margin and $160.8M annual free cash flow.
Live MQ Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MQ)
- ✓Walkthrough of MQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.09%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $18.12H $18.30L $17.77C $18.07VOL 790.1K
RES: $19.48SUP: $15.73SMA50: $17.10SMA200: $16.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +23.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MQ today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MQ)
Technology Rank #482 of 714
⚔️ NYAX vs MQ Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MQ vs. NYAX, CNXC, PDFS, PRGS)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (MQ) ranks #482 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #298 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRGS leads on earnings valuation at 25.1x trailing P/E, while PRGS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 80.8% gross margin. PRGS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with MQ at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MQ
ACTIVE
Marqeta Inc. (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | 70.0% | -35.0% | -0.44% | $1.88B | Benchmark Subject |
| NYAX Nayax Ltd. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -0.02% | $1.88B | /nyax-vs-mq → |
| CNXC Concentrix Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | 35.0% | -10.4% | -0.62% | $1.85B | /cnxc-vs-mq → |
| PDFS PDF Solutions Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | 72.3% | 1.6% | +0.15% | $1.92B | /pdfs-vs-mq → |
| PRGS Progress Software Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 25.1x | 80.8% | 8.5% | +1.06% | $1.84B | /prgs-vs-mq → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001522540In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (MQ) reported GAAP revenue of $624.9M (+23.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $507.0M , and -7.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$13.9M, operating cash flow of $162.6M, and free cash flow of $160.8M (+188.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MQ closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.43, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $624.9M | -$13.9M | $162.6M | $160.8M | $1.53B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $507.0M | $27.3M | $58.2M | $55.8M | $1.46B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $676.2M | -$223.0M | $21.1M | $21.1M | — | — |
3. MQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Marqeta Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $18.07 (-0.44% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MQ ranks #482 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MQ compare to NYAX and CNXC in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), MQ carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 70.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NYAX (Nayax Ltd.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and CNXC (Concentrix Corporation) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.4%, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRGS leads on earnings multiple (25.1x) while PRGS leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MQ?
Per MQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001522540), Marqeta Inc. (Class A) generated $624.9M in revenue (+23.3% YoY), -$13.9M in net income, and $160.8M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MQ last traded at $18.07 (-0.44% on volume of 678,078 shares), positioning the stock +5.67% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.10) and +8.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.61). Across its 52-week range of $14.80 to $22.28, MQ sits at the 43.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($16.82 to $19.32).
MQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MQ stock moving today?
Why MQ Stock slipped -0.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.