Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. (MLYS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.24 -0.65% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. (MLYS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$50 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE MLYS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MLYS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MLYS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MLYS.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MLYS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MLYS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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MLYS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $20.99H $21.24L $18.11C $21.24VOL 3.98M
RES: $32.71SUP: $19.21SMA50: $24.78SMA200: $26.99
$34.16$29.81$25.46$21.11$16.76RES $32.71SUP $19.21$21.242026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MLYS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLYS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLYS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MLYS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLYS)

Health Care Rank #540 of 1016 ⚔️ ZBIO vs MLYS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MLYS vs. ZBIO, TRAX, ADRX, BRVE)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. (MLYS) ranks #540 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #275 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLYS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MLYS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ADRX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with MLYS at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MLYS ACTIVE
Mineralys Therapeutics Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -28.4% -0.65% $1.88B Benchmark Subject
ZBIO
Zenas BioPharma Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -0.04% $1.87B /zbio-vs-mlys →
TRAX
First Tracks Biotherapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.08% $1.90B /trax-vs-mlys →
ADRX
ADARx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.56% $1.91B /adrx-vs-mlys →
BRVE
Braveheart Bio Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -2.62% $1.91B /brve-vs-mlys →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001933414

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. (MLYS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$154.7M, operating cash flow of -$142.4M, and free cash flow of -$142.4M (+14.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLYS closed FY2025 with $661.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$154.7M -$142.4M -$142.4M $661.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$177.8M -$166.3M -$166.3M $205.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$71.9M -$81.2M -$81.2M — —

3. MLYS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MLYS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: MLYS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $21.24 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MLYS ranks #540 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MLYS compare to ZBIO and TRAX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MLYS carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -28.4%. By comparison, ZBIO (Zenas BioPharma Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.87B) and TRAX (First Tracks Biotherapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLYS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MLYS leads on capital efficiency (-28.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLYS?

Per MLYS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001933414), Mineralys Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$154.7M in net income, and -$142.4M in free cash flow against $661.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MLYS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MLYS last traded at $21.24 (-0.65% on volume of 2,077,183 shares), positioning the stock -14.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.78) and -21.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.99). Across its 52-week range of $18.11 to $47.65, MLYS sits at the 10.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($18.59 to $23.89).

MLYS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MLYS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MLYS.

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