CATALYSTReuters • 2h ago
Indian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat - ReutersIndian shares rise on Iran war talks, Reliance earnings beat Reuters
Why MHO Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$128.34 +3.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.98
M/I Homes Inc. (MHO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $3.21B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MHO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, M/I Homes Inc. (NYSE: MHO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $128.34 (+3.84% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MHO ranks #278 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MHO compare to KBH and GEO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), MHO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, KBH (KB Home) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $2.90B) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MHO?
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Per MHO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799292), M/I Homes Inc. generated $4.42B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), $402.9M in net income, and $127.7M in free cash flow against $4.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $128.98 (+0.50%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MHO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MHO SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 11.5% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$127.82-2.6% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$124.48-0.4% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$123.97+3.5% Next Q
62
CurrentGrade C$128.34+1.3% Hist 90D α
65
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MHO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MHO faces multiple-compression risk if 8.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($136.23) or 200D SMA ($137.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($132.38) toward Bear Floor ($103.26).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MHO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MHO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MHO Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
M/I Homes Inc. (MHO) surged +3.84% to $128.34, trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($113.4 – $163.66). Solid 23% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 30% of its 52-week range ($113.4 – $163.66) with RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $128.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 23% gross margin and $127.7M annual free cash flow.
Live MHO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 11h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 12h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MHO Tape Review)
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MHO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.40%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $129.9H $131.9L $127.5C $128.3VOL 225.2K
RES: $144.8SUP: $110.8SMA50: $136.2SMA200: $137.7
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MHO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MHO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MHO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MHO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MHO)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #278 of 1011
⚔️ KBH vs MHO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MHO vs. KBH, GEO, GRBK, MTH)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, M/I Homes Inc. (MHO) ranks #278 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #350 by equity capitalization ($3.21B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBH leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. MHO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MHO
ACTIVE
M/I Homes Inc. | C | 65/100 | 8.0x | 23.0% | 12.6% | +3.84% | $3.21B | Benchmark Subject |
| KBH KB Home | C- | 60/100 | 6.8x | — | 11.0% | +3.23% | $2.90B | /kbh-vs-mho → |
| GEO Geo Group Inc | D | 49/100 | 14.8x | — | 6.6% | +3.52% | $3.76B | /geo-vs-mho → |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners Inc. | C | 65/100 | 7.7x | 31.4% | 18.5% | -0.62% | $2.65B | /grbk-vs-mho → |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corporation | C- | 59/100 | 9.3x | — | 8.0% | +3.98% | $4.20B | /mth-vs-mho → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000799292In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), M/I Homes Inc. (MHO) reported GAAP revenue of $4.42B (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.50B , and +9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $402.9M, operating cash flow of $137.3M, and free cash flow of $127.7M (-25.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MHO closed FY2025 with $4.78B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.43, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.42B | $402.9M | $137.3M | $127.7M | $4.78B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.50B | $563.7M | $179.7M | $171.3M | $4.55B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.03B | $465.4M | $552.1M | $552.1M | — | — |
3. MHO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MHO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, M/I Homes Inc. (NYSE: MHO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $128.34 (+3.84% 1D, market cap $3.21B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MHO ranks #278 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MHO compare to KBH and GEO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), MHO carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.0x, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, KBH (KB Home) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $2.90B) and GEO (Geo Group Inc) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $3.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MHO?
Per MHO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799292), M/I Homes Inc. generated $4.42B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), $402.9M in net income, and $127.7M in free cash flow against $4.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MHO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MHO last traded at $128.34 (+3.84% on volume of 267,016 shares), positioning the stock -5.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($136.23) and -6.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($137.65). Across its 52-week range of $113.40 to $163.66, MHO sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($118.71 to $137.97).
MHO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MHO stock moving today?
Why MHO Stock surged +3.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 23% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.