MARKET WIRECNBC • 1h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MFA Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.80 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
MFA Financial Inc. (MFA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $687.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MFA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MFA Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
MFA Financial Inc. (MFA) advanced +0.15% to $6.80, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($6.38 – $10.43). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($6.38 – $10.43) with RSI-14 at 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.1% around $6.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $76.2M annual free cash flow.
Live MFA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 3h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MFA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MFA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.66%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.79H $6.83L $6.61C $6.80VOL 2.91M
RES: $8.31SUP: $6.03SMA50: $7.81SMA200: $9.20
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MFA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MFA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MFA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MFA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MFA)
Financials Rank #435 of 1096
⚔️ CLDT vs MFA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MFA vs. CLDT, CIM, PSTL, BFS)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MFA Financial Inc. (MFA) ranks #435 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #630 by equity capitalization ($687.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFA leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while BFS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MFA at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFA
ACTIVE
MFA Financial Inc. | C | 62/100 | 3.9x | — | 9.7% | +0.15% | $687.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| CLDT Chatham Lodging Trust of | C | 62/100 | 46.3x | — | 4.5% | +0.60% | $697.6M | /cldt-vs-mfa → |
| CIM Chimera Investment Corporation | D- | 40/100 | — | — | 9.0% | +1.80% | $709.9M | /cim-vs-mfa → |
| PSTL Postal Realty Trust Inc. (Class A) | C | 65/100 | 46.4x | — | 9.6% | +1.93% | $656.4M | /pstl-vs-mfa → |
| BFS Saul Centers Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 19.4x | — | 51.6% | +1.56% | $725.9M | /bfs-vs-mfa → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001055160In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MFA Financial Inc. (MFA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $176.8M, operating cash flow of $76.2M, and free cash flow of $76.2M (-61.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MFA closed FY2025 with $13.05B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $176.8M | $76.2M | $76.2M | $13.05B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $119.3M | $200.1M | $200.1M | $11.41B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $80.2M | $108.7M | $108.7M | — | — |
3. MFA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MFA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, MFA Financial Inc. (NYSE: MFA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.80 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $687.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MFA ranks #435 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MFA compare to CLDT and CIM in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), MFA carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, CLDT (Chatham Lodging Trust of) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 46.3x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $697.6M) and CIM (Chimera Investment Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.0%, cap $709.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFA leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while BFS leads on capital efficiency (51.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MFA?
Per MFA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001055160), MFA Financial Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $176.8M in net income, and $76.2M in free cash flow against $13.05B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MFA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MFA last traded at $6.80 (+0.15% on volume of 3,304,344 shares), positioning the stock -12.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.81) and -26.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.20). Across its 52-week range of $6.38 to $10.43, MFA sits at the 10.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($6.39 to $7.21).
MFA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MFA stock moving today?
Why MFA Stock advanced +0.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.