MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why METC Stock dropped -2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.35 -2.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.31
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) (METC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $468.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.31 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for METC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY METC SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($2.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$8.70-10% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$7.83-6.5% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$7.32+0.4% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D$7.35-5.9% Hist 90D α
47
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a METC Turnaround Squeeze
While METC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.75) and Max Pain ($7.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.68.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $METC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “METC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why METC Stock dropped -2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) (METC) dropped -2.00% to $7.35, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.79 – $30.17). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.79 – $30.17) with RSI-14 at 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.0M annual free cash flow.
Live METC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring METC)
- ✓Walkthrough of METC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
METC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -50.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.07H $7.35L $6.79C $7.35VOL 1.75M
RES: $13.33SUP: $2.89SMA50: $9.75SMA200: $13.47
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
METC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on METC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for METC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for METC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (METC)
Energy Rank #162 of 211
⚔️ METCB vs METC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (METC vs. METCB, NC, NRP, AREC)
Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) (METC) ranks #162 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #155 by equity capitalization ($468.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NC leads on earnings valuation at 15.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with METC at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| METC
ACTIVE
Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.00% | $468.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| METCB Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B) | D | 50/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.06% | $270.7M | /metcb-vs-metc → |
| NC NACCO Industries Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 15.3x | 13.9% | 4.6% | +2.06% | $269.6M | /nc-vs-metc → |
| NRP Natural Resource Partners LP | C+ | 69/100 | — | — | 18.4% | -0.88% | $1.54B | /nrp-vs-metc → |
| AREC American Resources Corporation (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | — | -14.0% | +4.51% | $136.4M | /arec-vs-metc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001687187In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) (METC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$51.4M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $2.0M (-98.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, METC closed FY2025 with $1.14B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$51.4M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $1.14B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $11.2M | $112.7M | $112.7M | $674.7M | $57.0K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $82.3M | $161.0M | $161.0M | — | — |
3. METC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs METC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: METC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $7.35 (-2.00% 1D, market cap $468.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, METC ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.
How does METC compare to METCB and NC in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), METC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, METCB (Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class B)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $270.7M) and NC (NACCO Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $269.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NC leads on earnings multiple (15.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for METC?
Per METC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001687187), Ramaco Resources Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$51.4M in net income, and $2.0M in free cash flow against $1.14B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is METC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
METC last traded at $7.35 (-2.00% on volume of 1,120,228 shares), positioning the stock -24.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.75) and -45.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.47). Across its 52-week range of $6.79 to $30.17, METC sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.43 to $8.27).
METC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is METC stock moving today?
Why METC Stock dropped -2.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.