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Why MEC Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $15.11 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $385.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #329 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $266.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $652.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?
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Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($26.9M FCF) & 9.9% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MEC Turnaround Squeeze
While MEC currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.84) and Max Pain ($15.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.70.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MEC Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) surged +2.37% to $15.11, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($12.42 – $38.76). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($12.42 – $38.76) with RSI-14 at 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 9.9% gross margin and $26.9M annual free cash flow.
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MILWAUKEE, October 21, 2026--Mayville Engineering Company (NYSE: MEC) (the "Company" or "MEC"), a leading value-added provider of design, prototyping and manufacturing solutions serving diverse end markets, today announc
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Mayville Engineering Company is a $385 million market cap company, providing metal fabricating services, including prototyping, manufacturing, and assembly.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MEC)
- ✓Walkthrough of MEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MEC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MEC)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MEC vs. OFLX, PKOH, BOOM, AMRO)
Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) ranks #329 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #311 by equity capitalization ($385.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with MEC at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEC
ACTIVE
Mayville Engineering Company Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | 9.9% | -1.3% | +2.37% | $385.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| OFLX Omega Flex Inc. | B+ | 78/100 | 18.0x | 60.0% | 43.2% | +5.93% | $266.9M | /oflx-vs-mec → |
| PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | D+ | 57/100 | 27.4x | 17.0% | 15.6% | +0.69% | $652.1M | /pkoh-vs-mec → |
| BOOM DMC Global Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 22.2% | 0.0% | +9.70% | $174.2M | /boom-vs-mec → |
| AMRO Amaero Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.36% | $137.8M | /amro-vs-mec → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001766368In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) reported GAAP revenue of $546.5M (-6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $581.6M , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.1M, operating cash flow of $38.6M, and free cash flow of $26.9M (-65.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MEC closed FY2025 with $563.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $546.5M | -$8.1M | $38.6M | $26.9M | $563.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $581.6M | $26.0M | $89.8M | $77.7M | $445.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $588.4M | $7.8M | $40.4M | $40.4M | — | — |
3. MEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $15.11 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $385.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #329 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $266.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $652.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?
Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MEC last traded at $15.11 (+2.37% on volume of 398,706 shares), positioning the stock -10.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.84) and -33.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.65). Across its 52-week range of $12.42 to $38.76, MEC sits at the 10.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.22 to $17.00).
MEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MEC stock moving today?
Why MEC Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.