Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$15.02 -0.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $385.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.02 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $385.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #350 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $266.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $652.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?
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Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97 (-0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (7)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$41 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
📬 FREE MEC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MEC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($26.9M FCF) & 9.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$15.06-7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$13.94-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$13.10+14.7% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$15.02-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MEC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.71) and Max Pain ($15.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MEC Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MEC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MEC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MEC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.19%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $14.76H $15.11L $14.76C $15.02VOL 398.7K
RES: $14.61SUP: $11.93SMA50: $16.71SMA200: $22.63
$40.60$32.96$25.32$17.68$10.04RES $14.61SUP $11.93$15.022026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MEC)

Industrials Rank #350 of 485 ⚔️ OFLX vs MEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MEC vs. OFLX, PKOH, BOOM, AMRO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) ranks #350 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #311 by equity capitalization ($385.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MEC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MEC ACTIVE
Mayville Engineering Company Inc.
D- 39/100 — 9.9% -1.3% -0.60% $385.3M Benchmark Subject
OFLX
Omega Flex Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.0x 60.0% 43.2% -0.38% $266.9M /oflx-vs-mec →
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D+ 53/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -4.13% $652.1M /pkoh-vs-mec →
BOOM
DMC Global Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 22.2% 0.0% +10.26% $174.2M /boom-vs-mec →
AMRO
Amaero Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -3.81% $137.8M /amro-vs-mec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001766368

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) reported GAAP revenue of $546.5M (-6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $581.6M , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.1M, operating cash flow of $38.6M, and free cash flow of $26.9M (-65.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MEC closed FY2025 with $563.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $546.5M -$8.1M $38.6M $26.9M $563.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $581.6M $26.0M $89.8M $77.7M $445.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $588.4M $7.8M $40.4M $40.4M — —

3. MEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.02 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $385.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #350 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $266.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $652.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?

Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MEC last traded at $15.02 (-0.60% on volume of 468,173 shares), positioning the stock -10.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.71) and -33.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.63). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $38.76, MEC sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($13.16 to $16.88).

MEC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are MEC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MEC leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

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