Stock Ratings / Industrials / MEC / earnings

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Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.4% Move

$15.02 -0.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.98

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $385.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MEC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.02 (-0.60% 1D, market cap $385.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #350 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $266.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $652.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?

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Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.97 (-0.30%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MEC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($26.9M FCF) & 9.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$15.06-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$13.94-6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$13.10+14.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$15.02-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MEC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.71) and Max Pain ($15.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.4% Swing Band

±$1.86 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MEC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -6%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$546.5M	-$8.1M	$26.9M	9.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$581.6M	$26.0M	$77.7M	12.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$588.4M	$7.8M	$40.4M	9.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MEC)

✓Walkthrough of MEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.19%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $14.76H $15.11L $14.76C $15.02VOL 398.7K

RES: $14.61SUP: $11.93SMA50: $16.71SMA200: $22.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MEC Butterfly Map → + Track MEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MEC)

Industrials Rank #350 of 485 ⚔️ OFLX vs MEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MEC vs. OFLX, PKOH, BOOM, AMRO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) ranks #350 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #311 by equity capitalization ($385.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MEC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MEC ACTIVE Mayville Engineering Company Inc.	D-	39/100	—	9.9%	-1.3%	-0.60%	$385.3M	Benchmark Subject
OFLX Omega Flex Inc.	C+	67/100	18.0x	60.0%	43.2%	-0.38%	$266.9M	/oflx-vs-mec →
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D+	53/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	-4.13%	$652.1M	/pkoh-vs-mec →
BOOM DMC Global Inc.	D+	52/100	—	22.2%	0.0%	+10.26%	$174.2M	/boom-vs-mec →
AMRO Amaero Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-3.81%	$137.8M	/amro-vs-mec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001766368

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) reported GAAP revenue of $546.5M (-6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $581.6M , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.1M, operating cash flow of $38.6M, and free cash flow of $26.9M (-65.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MEC closed FY2025 with $563.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$546.5M	-$8.1M	$38.6M	$26.9M	$563.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$581.6M	$26.0M	$89.8M	$77.7M	$445.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$588.4M	$7.8M	$40.4M	$40.4M	—	—

3. MEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?

Where is MEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MEC last traded at $15.02 (-0.60% on volume of 468,173 shares), positioning the stock -10.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.71) and -33.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.63). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $38.76, MEC sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($13.16 to $16.88).