Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.99 -8.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97

Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $83.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.97 (-1.69%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (7)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MDIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MDIA SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.9% FCF Margin ($1.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$1.03+4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$1.08+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$1.10-10% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$0.99-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MDIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MDIA currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.09) and Max Pain ($1.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MDIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MDIA Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MDIA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MDIA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDIA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MDIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MDIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.24%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $0.99H $0.99L $0.88C $0.99VOL 7.2K
RES: $1.10SUP: $1.01SMA50: $1.09SMA200: $0.88
$1.71$1.42$1.14$0.85$0.56RES $1.10SUP $1.01$0.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDIA)

Communication Services Rank #120 of 132 ⚔️ TSQ vs MDIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MDIA vs. TSQ, SGA, SSP, IHRT)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) ranks #120 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #97 by equity capitalization ($83.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MDIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TSQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. SGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with MDIA at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MDIA ACTIVE
Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -18.7% -8.33% $83.2M Benchmark Subject
TSQ
Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 25.5% 8.4% 0.00% $56.2M /tsq-vs-mdia →
SGA
Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — -6.5% -2.40% $51.8M /sga-vs-mdia →
SSP
E.W. Scripps Company (Class A)
D 51/100 — — 3.8% +4.56% $233.5M /ssp-vs-mdia →
IHRT
iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)
C- 61/100 — — — +12.82% $235.3M /ihrt-vs-mdia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001784254

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) reported GAAP revenue of $133.3M (+39.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $95.6M , and +311.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.2M (+105.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MDIA closed FY2025 with $291.1M in total assets against $63.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $133.3M $0 $2.0M $1.2M $291.1M $63.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $95.6M -$1.3M -$19.9M -$21.0M $325.5M $70.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $32.4M -$7.6M -$5.3M -$5.3M — —

3. MDIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MDIA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $0.99 (-8.33% 1D, market cap $83.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MDIA ranks #120 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MDIA compare to TSQ and SGA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), MDIA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.7%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $56.2M) and SGA (Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $51.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDIA?

Per MDIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001784254), Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $133.3M in revenue (+39.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and $1.2M in free cash flow against $291.1M in total assets and $63.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MDIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDIA last traded at $0.99 (-8.33% on volume of 14,885 shares), positioning the stock -9.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.09) and +12.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.88). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $1.64, MDIA sits at the 40.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.11).

MDIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are MDIA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MDIA leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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