Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.8% Move

$60.65 +0.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.05B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
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Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (7)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$72 Bull$61 Base$47 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBWM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.8% Swing Band

±$2.91 Expected Swing
$57.74 (-4.8%)Spot $60.65$63.56 (+4.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MBWM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $5.13 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$88.8M$18.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$79.6M$101.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$82.2M$66.6M52%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBWM)

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MBWM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $60.95H $61.29L $59.67C $60.65VOL 114.4K
RES: $63.49SUP: $56.46SMA50: $59.74SMA200: $55.42
$63.95$59.80$55.66$51.51$47.36RES $63.49SUP $56.46$60.652026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBWM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBWM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBWM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBWM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBWM)

Financials Rank #611 of 1096 ⚔️ CCNE vs MBWM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MBWM vs. CCNE, MCBS, BFST, EGBN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) ranks #611 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #543 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBWM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while MCBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with MBWM at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBWM ACTIVE
Mercantile Bank Corporation
D+ 58/100 11.8x — 12.2% +0.53% $1.05B Benchmark Subject
CCNE
CNB Financial Corporation
C+ 67/100 16.0x — 7.6% +0.56% $1.05B /ccne-vs-mbwm →
MCBS
MetroCity Bankshares Inc.
C 65/100 15.1x — 12.6% +0.59% $1.04B /mcbs-vs-mbwm →
BFST
Business First Bancshares Inc.
C+ 69/100 11.8x — 9.8% +0.41% $1.03B /bfst-vs-mbwm →
EGBN
Eagle Bancorp Inc.
D 45/100 — — -12.2% +1.30% $1.02B /egbn-vs-mbwm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001042729

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $88.8M, operating cash flow of $18.0M, and free cash flow of $18.0M (-82.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBWM closed FY2025 with $6.84B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $88.8M $18.0M $18.0M $6.84B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $79.6M $101.1M $101.1M $6.05B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $82.2M $66.6M $66.6M — —

3. MBWM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBWM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Mercantile Bank Corporation (NASDAQ: MBWM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $60.65 (+0.53% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MBWM ranks #611 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBWM compare to CCNE and MCBS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), MBWM carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 7.6%, cap $1.05B) and MCBS (MetroCity Bankshares Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 15.1x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $1.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBWM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while MCBS leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBWM?

Per MBWM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001042729), Mercantile Bank Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $88.8M in net income, and $18.0M in free cash flow against $6.84B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBWM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBWM last traded at $60.65 (+0.53% on volume of 84,407 shares), positioning the stock +1.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($59.74) and +9.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($55.42). Across its 52-week range of $43.00 to $62.95, MBWM sits at the 88.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($57.74 to $63.56).

MBWM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MBWM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MBWM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.8% event move for MBWM, spanning a range between $57.74 and $63.56.

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