MARKET WIREReuters • 50m ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why MBBC Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.52 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.49
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $43.7M
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Is MBBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: MBBC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.52 (0.00% 1D, market cap $43.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MBBC ranks #833 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MBBC compare to TCBS and FNWB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Banks), MBBC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, TCBS (Texas Community Bancshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $49.6M) and FNWB (First Northwest Bancorp) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.7%, cap $98.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCBS leads on earnings multiple (17.5x) while TCBS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBBC?
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Per MBBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001835385), Marathon Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $42.0K in net income, and $1.3M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.49 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBBC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBBC SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$15.10-4% Next Q
59
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$14.50+1.2% Next Q
56
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$14.67-1% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D$14.52-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBBC Turnaround Squeeze
While MBBC currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.98) and Max Pain ($15.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.59.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBBC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBBC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MBBC Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) slipped 0.00% to $14.52, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($10.53 – $15.79). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($10.53 – $15.79) with RSI-14 at 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $14.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.3M annual free cash flow.
Live MBBC Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 12h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBBC)
- ✓Walkthrough of MBBC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MBBC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.89%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.52H $14.52L $14.52C $14.52
RES: $15.18SUP: $14.06SMA50: $14.98SMA200: $14.39
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MBBC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBBC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBBC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBBC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBBC)
Financials Rank #833 of 1096
⚔️ TCBS vs MBBC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MBBC vs. TCBS, FNWB, BSBK, WSBK)
Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) ranks #833 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #1020 by equity capitalization ($43.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCBS leads on earnings valuation at 17.5x trailing P/E, while TCBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.3% ROIC and — gross margin. TCBS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with MBBC at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MBBC
ACTIVE
Marathon Bancorp Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | — | 0.1% | 0.00% | $43.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| TCBS Texas Community Bancshares Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 17.5x | — | 5.3% | +1.05% | $49.6M | /tcbs-vs-mbbc → |
| FNWB First Northwest Bancorp | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -2.7% | -0.10% | $98.1M | /fnwb-vs-mbbc → |
| BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. | D | 51/100 | 56.3x | — | 1.5% | -0.11% | $117.8M | /bsbk-vs-mbbc → |
| WSBK Winchester Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -0.7% | +0.41% | $123.9M | /wsbk-vs-mbbc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001835385In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Marathon Bancorp Inc. (MBBC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $42.0K, operating cash flow of $1.4M, and free cash flow of $1.3M (+168.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBBC closed FY2025 with $248.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-06-30 | $0 | $42.0K | $1.4M | $1.3M | $248.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $0 | -$187.0K | $416.6K | -$1.8M | $217.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $0 | $1.7M | $2.0M | $2.0M | — | — |
3. MBBC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MBBC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Marathon Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: MBBC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $14.52 (0.00% 1D, market cap $43.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MBBC ranks #833 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MBBC compare to TCBS and FNWB in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Banks), MBBC carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, TCBS (Texas Community Bancshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $49.6M) and FNWB (First Northwest Bancorp) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.7%, cap $98.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCBS leads on earnings multiple (17.5x) while TCBS leads on capital efficiency (5.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBBC?
Per MBBC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001835385), Marathon Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $42.0K in net income, and $1.3M in free cash flow against $248.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MBBC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MBBC last traded at $14.52 (0.00% on volume of 83 shares), positioning the stock -3.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.98) and +0.90% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.39). Across its 52-week range of $10.53 to $15.79, MBBC sits at the 75.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($14.26 to $14.78).
MBBC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MBBC stock moving today?
Why MBBC Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.