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Why MATW Stock advanced +1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$19.34 +1.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36
Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $603.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.34 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.38B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $75.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?
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Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36 (+0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MATW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MATW SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.15 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$18.61+4% Next Q
27
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$19.36-0.5% Next Q
30
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$19.26+0.4% Next Q
32
CurrentGrade D-$19.34-8.5% Hist 90D α
35
Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MATW Turnaround Squeeze
While MATW currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.79) and Max Pain ($20.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.48.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MATW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MATW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MATW Stock advanced +1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) advanced +1.68% to $19.34, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($18.42 – $30.93). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($18.42 – $30.93) with RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $19.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 33.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live MATW Headlines & Catalysts
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 10h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MATW)
- ✓Walkthrough of MATW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MATW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $19.41H $19.61L $19.23C $19.34VOL 411.9K
RES: $30.94SUP: $16.94SMA50: $19.79SMA200: $24.75
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MATW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MATW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MATW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MATW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MATW)
Communication Services Rank #115 of 132
⚔️ DPC vs MATW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MATW vs. DPC, BWEN, HUHU, ELMT)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #74 by equity capitalization ($603.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BWEN leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while DPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HUHU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with MATW at 35/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATW
ACTIVE
Matthews International Corporation (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | 33.9% | 5.7% | +1.68% | $603.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| DPC DPC Holdings PLC | D | 50/100 | 32.8x | — | 38.5% | +4.38% | $4.38B | /dpc-vs-matw → |
| BWEN Broadwind Inc. | D | 50/100 | 14.3x | — | 9.7% | -2.16% | $75.0M | /bwen-vs-matw → |
| HUHU HUHUTECH International Group Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | 33.1% | -35.0% | -10.62% | $13.0M | /huhu-vs-matw → |
| ELMT The Elmet Group Co. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +1.95% | $733.5M | /elmt-vs-matw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000063296In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.50B (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$24.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.6M, and free cash flow of -$59.4M (-274.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MATW closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $529.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.15, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $1.50B | -$24.5M | -$23.6M | -$59.4M | $1.55B | $529.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $1.80B | -$59.7M | $79.3M | $34.1M | $1.79B | $802.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $1.88B | $39.3M | $79.5M | $79.5M | — | — |
3. MATW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.34 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?
Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.38B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $75.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?
Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MATW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MATW last traded at $19.34 (+1.68% on volume of 511,647 shares), positioning the stock -2.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.79) and -21.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.75). Across its 52-week range of $18.42 to $30.93, MATW sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($18.30 to $20.38).
MATW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MATW stock moving today?
Why MATW Stock advanced +1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.