Stock Ratings / Communication Services / MATW

DPC (50) BWEN (50) HUHU (52) ELMT (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.34 +1.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $603.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36 (+0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MATW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MATW SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.15 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$18.61+4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$19.36-0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$19.26+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$19.34-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MATW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MATW currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.79) and Max Pain ($20.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MATW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MATW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

2.15>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE7% OF RANGE

L: $18$19.34H: $31

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MATW

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (25)

5.7% ROIC with 33.9% gross margin and -9.83% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.15 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MATW

✓Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MATW)

✓Walkthrough of MATW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MATW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $19.41H $19.61L $19.23C $19.34VOL 411.9K

RES: $30.94SUP: $16.94SMA50: $19.79SMA200: $24.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MATW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MATW Butterfly Map → + Track MATW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MATW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MATW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MATW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MATW)

Communication Services Rank #115 of 132 ⚔️ DPC vs MATW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MATW vs. DPC, BWEN, HUHU, ELMT)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #74 by equity capitalization ($603.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BWEN leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while DPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HUHU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with MATW at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MATW ACTIVE Matthews International Corporation (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	33.9%	5.7%	+1.68%	$603.7M	Benchmark Subject
DPC DPC Holdings PLC	D	50/100	32.8x	—	38.5%	+4.38%	$4.38B	/dpc-vs-matw →
BWEN Broadwind Inc.	D	50/100	14.3x	—	9.7%	-2.16%	$75.0M	/bwen-vs-matw →
HUHU HUHUTECH International Group Inc.	D+	52/100	—	33.1%	-35.0%	-10.62%	$13.0M	/huhu-vs-matw →
ELMT The Elmet Group Co.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+1.95%	$733.5M	/elmt-vs-matw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000063296

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.50B (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$24.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.6M, and free cash flow of -$59.4M (-274.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MATW closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $529.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.15, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.50B	-$24.5M	-$23.6M	-$59.4M	$1.55B	$529.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.80B	-$59.7M	$79.3M	$34.1M	$1.79B	$802.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.88B	$39.3M	$79.5M	$79.5M	—	—

3. MATW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.34 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.38B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $75.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?

Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MATW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MATW last traded at $19.34 (+1.68% on volume of 511,647 shares), positioning the stock -2.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.79) and -21.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.75). Across its 52-week range of $18.42 to $30.93, MATW sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($18.30 to $20.38).

MATW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MATW stock right now?

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 35/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MATW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MATW's 12-month base price target is $17.34 (range $13.53 to $32.48), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MATW RQD Cockpit MATW 12M Forecast MATW Earnings & Move MATW Dividends & DRIP MATW Insiders & 13F MATW Whale Options MATW Profit Sankey MATW News & Why