Stock Ratings / Communication Services / MATW / earnings

DPC (50) BWEN (50) HUHU (52) ELMT (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.4% Move

$19.34 +1.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36

Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $603.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.36 (+0.11%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MATW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MATW SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.15 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$18.61+4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$19.36-0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$19.26+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$19.34-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MATW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MATW currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.79) and Max Pain ($20.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MATW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MATW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.4% Swing Band

±$1.04 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MATW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -16.6%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$1.50B	-$24.5M	-$59.4M	33.9%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$1.80B	-$59.7M	$34.1M	29.5%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$1.88B	$39.3M	$79.5M	33.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MATW)

✓Walkthrough of MATW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MATW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $19.41H $19.61L $19.23C $19.34VOL 411.9K

RES: $30.94SUP: $16.94SMA50: $19.79SMA200: $24.75

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MATW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MATW Butterfly Map → + Track MATW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MATW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MATW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MATW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MATW)

Communication Services Rank #115 of 132 ⚔️ DPC vs MATW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MATW vs. DPC, BWEN, HUHU, ELMT)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) ranks #115 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #74 by equity capitalization ($603.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BWEN leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while DPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HUHU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with MATW at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MATW ACTIVE Matthews International Corporation (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	33.9%	5.7%	+1.68%	$603.7M	Benchmark Subject
DPC DPC Holdings PLC	D	50/100	32.8x	—	38.5%	+4.38%	$4.38B	/dpc-vs-matw →
BWEN Broadwind Inc.	D	50/100	14.3x	—	9.7%	-2.16%	$75.0M	/bwen-vs-matw →
HUHU HUHUTECH International Group Inc.	D+	52/100	—	33.1%	-35.0%	-10.62%	$13.0M	/huhu-vs-matw →
ELMT The Elmet Group Co.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+1.95%	$733.5M	/elmt-vs-matw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000063296

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (MATW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.50B (-16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and -20.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$24.5M, operating cash flow of -$23.6M, and free cash flow of -$59.4M (-274.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MATW closed FY2025 with $1.55B in total assets against $529.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.15, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.50B	-$24.5M	-$23.6M	-$59.4M	$1.55B	$529.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.80B	-$59.7M	$79.3M	$34.1M	$1.79B	$802.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.88B	$39.3M	$79.5M	$79.5M	—	—

3. MATW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MATW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Matthews International Corporation (Class A) (NASDAQ: MATW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $19.34 (+1.68% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MATW ranks #115 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MATW compare to DPC and BWEN in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Metal Fabrications), MATW carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.9%, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, DPC (DPC Holdings PLC) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $4.38B) and BWEN (Broadwind Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 14.3x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $75.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BWEN leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while DPC leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MATW?

Per MATW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000063296), Matthews International Corporation (Class A) generated $1.50B in revenue (-16.6% YoY), -$24.5M in net income, and -$59.4M in free cash flow against $1.55B in total assets and $529.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MATW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MATW last traded at $19.34 (+1.68% on volume of 511,647 shares), positioning the stock -2.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.79) and -21.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.75). Across its 52-week range of $18.42 to $30.93, MATW sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($18.30 to $20.38).