MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.6% Move

$1.10 -6.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08

MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $72.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (NYSE: MAIA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-6.78% 1D, market cap $72.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MAIA ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAIA compare to LFVN and TELO in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MAIA carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M) and TELO (Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAIA?
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Per MAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001878313), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.4M in net income, and -$18.8M in free cash flow against $9.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08 (-1.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (6)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MAIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAIA SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$1.18-9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$1.07+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$1.11-0.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$1.10-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MAIA currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.24) and Max Pain ($1.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.6% Swing Band

±$0.12 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-10.6%)Spot $1.10$1.22 (+10.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MAIA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 48/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (48/100)Model Risk Weight (52/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$22.4M-$18.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$23.3M-$15.7M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAIA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MAIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.11H $1.14L $1.10C $1.10VOL 19.8K
RES: $1.41SUP: $1.04SMA50: $1.24SMA200: $1.46
$1.60$1.45$1.31$1.16$1.02RES $1.41SUP $1.04$1.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAIA)

Health Care Rank #327 of 1016 ⚔️ LFVN vs MAIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MAIA vs. LFVN, TELO, ACRV, CING)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #703 by equity capitalization ($72.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFVN leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while LFVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and 80.4% gross margin. LFVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MAIA at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAIA ACTIVE
MAIA Biotechnology Inc.
D 48/100 — — -35.0% -6.78% $72.9M Benchmark Subject
LFVN
Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)
B+ 76/100 7.5x 80.4% 29.2% +0.17% $73.9M /lfvn-vs-maia →
TELO
Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -3.01% $71.0M /telo-vs-maia →
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -5.68% $75.4M /acrv-vs-maia →
CING
Cingulate Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -4.05% $75.5M /cing-vs-maia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001878313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.4M, operating cash flow of -$18.8M, and free cash flow of -$18.8M (-20.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAIA closed FY2025 with $9.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$22.4M -$18.8M -$18.8M $9.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$23.3M -$15.7M -$15.7M $10.2M —

3. MAIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (NYSE: MAIA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-6.78% 1D, market cap $72.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MAIA ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAIA compare to LFVN and TELO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MAIA carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M) and TELO (Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAIA?

Per MAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001878313), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.4M in net income, and -$18.8M in free cash flow against $9.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAIA last traded at $1.10 (-6.78% on volume of 313,663 shares), positioning the stock -11.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.24) and -24.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.46). Across its 52-week range of $0.87 to $3.19, MAIA sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($1.00 to $1.22).

MAIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is MAIA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MAIA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.6% event move for MAIA, spanning a range between $1 and $1.22.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MAIA — MAIA Biotechnology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MAIA scores 48 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together indicate that the reported business is not yet generating cash and that insider flow offers limited support. The strongest relative pillar is macro fit, which reflects a beta of 1.0 but does not offset the fundamental weakness. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as one where the upside case rests almost entirely on future clinical and corporate developments rather than on current economics. Valuation cannot be anchored to earnings, since P/E and EPS are not available in source data, and the zero FCF yield means there is no present cash return to support the price. The 52-week range of $0.87 to $3.19 against a current price of $1.13 illustrates high price volatility relative to the company's disclosed fundamentals.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$-24.3M$-22.4MN/A$-18.8M$0.0MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$0.0M$-17.0M$-23.3MN/A$-15.7M$0.0MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in both periods, with operating losses of $-24.3M in FY 2025 and $-17.0M in FY 2024. Net margin, gross margin, and operating margin are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The reported cash balance is $0.0M in both periods, and debt is listed as N/A, so balance sheet posture cannot be fully characterized from the financial table alone.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the principal catalyst is a headline reporting patient enrollment milestones in ongoing Phase 2 and pivotal Phase 3 non-small cell lung cancer trials, carried by multiple outlets within the last several hours. A separate report flagged MAIA among premarket movers on Nov. 2, 2026, marked as a catalyst item. Several items are general quote-page or seasonal-return listings with limited analytical content. A Benzinga headline references insider buying in biotech names, which is relevant to the insider pillar but is not quantified in the holders data. Risk watch items: the news wire contains no information on trial readouts, regulatory timelines, or financing. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present; supply chain: NONE.

Open Questions

  • What are the current revenue, EPS, and cash balances, given that the filings list revenue and cash at $0.0M and EPS and debt as N/A?
  • What is the timing and scope of the Phase 2 and Phase 3 trial readouts, and what regulatory milestones are scheduled?
  • How is the company financing operating losses of roughly $-18.8M to $-22.4M per year, and what is the cash runway?
  • Which specific insider and institutional transactions underlie the insider conviction and whale flow pillar scores?
  • What is the basis for the 2.5 Altman Z-Score and 3/9 Piotroski F-Score, and how have these trended?

MAIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MAIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.10?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAIA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.27 (+7.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MAIA (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $1.18?

Welcome to the MAIA (MAIA Biotechnology Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.89 (-24.6%)
Spot @ $1.18

Pump the brakes on MAIA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MAIA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless MAIA Biotechnology Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $1.18

MAIA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MAIA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.18 (52-wk range $0.99 - $1.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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