MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.10 -6.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08

MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $72.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (NYSE: MAIA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-6.78% 1D, market cap $72.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MAIA ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAIA compare to LFVN and TELO in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MAIA carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M) and TELO (Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAIA?
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Per MAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001878313), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.4M in net income, and -$18.8M in free cash flow against $9.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.08 (-1.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (6)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE MAIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAIA SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$1.18-9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$1.07+3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$1.11-0.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$1.10-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MAIA currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.24) and Max Pain ($1.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
45.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE10% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.10H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MAIA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MAIA
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAIA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MAIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.11H $1.14L $1.10C $1.10VOL 19.8K
RES: $1.41SUP: $1.04SMA50: $1.24SMA200: $1.46
$1.60$1.45$1.31$1.16$1.02RES $1.41SUP $1.04$1.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAIA)

Health Care Rank #327 of 1016 ⚔️ LFVN vs MAIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MAIA vs. LFVN, TELO, ACRV, CING)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #703 by equity capitalization ($72.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LFVN leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while LFVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and 80.4% gross margin. LFVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with MAIA at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAIA ACTIVE
MAIA Biotechnology Inc.
D 48/100 — — -35.0% -6.78% $72.9M Benchmark Subject
LFVN
Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)
B+ 76/100 7.5x 80.4% 29.2% +0.17% $73.9M /lfvn-vs-maia →
TELO
Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -3.01% $71.0M /telo-vs-maia →
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -5.68% $75.4M /acrv-vs-maia →
CING
Cingulate Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -4.05% $75.5M /cing-vs-maia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001878313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.4M, operating cash flow of -$18.8M, and free cash flow of -$18.8M (-20.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAIA closed FY2025 with $9.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$22.4M -$18.8M -$18.8M $9.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$23.3M -$15.7M -$15.7M $10.2M —

3. MAIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (NYSE: MAIA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (-6.78% 1D, market cap $72.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MAIA ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAIA compare to LFVN and TELO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MAIA carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LFVN (Lifevantage Corporation (Delaware)) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 7.5x, ROIC 29.2%, cap $73.9M) and TELO (Telomir Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LFVN leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while LFVN leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAIA?

Per MAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001878313), MAIA Biotechnology Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.4M in net income, and -$18.8M in free cash flow against $9.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAIA last traded at $1.10 (-6.78% on volume of 313,663 shares), positioning the stock -11.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.24) and -24.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.46). Across its 52-week range of $0.87 to $3.19, MAIA sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($1.00 to $1.22).

MAIA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MAIA stock right now?

MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 48/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MAIA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MAIA's 12-month base price target is $1.05 (range $0.82 to $3.35), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MAIA — MAIA Biotechnology Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: roarable-bundle-v1
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) carries a composite score of 48 / 100 (D — Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning).\n- Fundamental Cash Engine (6 / 20): Return on invested capital (ROIC) registers at -35.0% with a free cash flow yield of 0.00% and gross margin of 0.0%.\n- Institutional 13F Whale Flow (12 / 20): Tracks institutional accumulation and dark-pool/options positioning relative to the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations cohort.\n- Insider & Congressional Conviction (5 / 20): Evaluates open-market Form 4 executive purchases and Congressional PTR disclosures.\n- Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Equity beta of 1.00 across the Health Care sector.\n- Forensic Balance-Sheet Shield (10 / 20): Altman Z-Score of 2.50, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt-to-Equity of 0.50.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %\n------------------------------\n$1.18$72.9MN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00%1.00$0.99 - $1.25-35.0%

Business & Sector Positioning

MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) is a NYSE-listed Health Care issuer operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Operating within Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), MAIA exhibits an operating margin of 0.0% and net margin of 0.0%. Prospective investors should monitor 2nd-order capex cycles, input cost pass-through in gross margin (0.0%), and valuation discipline (current multiple) relative to free cash flow conversion.

Open Questions for Prospective Investors

  • How sustainable is MAIA's current operating margin (0.0%) and ROIC (-35.0%) over the next four quarters?\n2. Does the current valuation multiple (current EV/EBITDA) adequately discount macro sensitivity (Beta 1.00) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations?\n3. Will upcoming quarterly cash flow conversion support continued balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 2.50)?

MAIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MAIA Biotechnology Inc. (MAIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MAIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.10?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAIA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.27 (+7.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MAIA (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $1.18?

Welcome to the MAIA (MAIA Biotechnology Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.89 (-24.6%)
Spot @ $1.18

Pump the brakes on MAIA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MAIA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless MAIA Biotechnology Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.51 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $1.18

MAIA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MAIA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.18 (52-wk range $0.99 - $1.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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