MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why MAGN Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$12.08 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.10
Magnera Corporation (MAGN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $432.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.11 (+0.21%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAGN SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0.2% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$11.50-3.9% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$11.05+8% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$11.93+1.3% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D$12.08-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MAGN Turnaround Squeeze
While MAGN currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.78) and Max Pain ($12.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.30.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why MAGN Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Magnera Corporation (MAGN) surged +2.20% to $12.08, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($7.82 – $15.52). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($7.82 – $15.52) with RSI-14 at 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $12.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 10.5% gross margin and $36.0M annual free cash flow.
Live MAGN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MAGN)
- ✓Walkthrough of MAGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MAGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.08H $12.24L $11.76C $12.08VOL 253.2K
RES: $12.93SUP: $10.10SMA50: $11.78SMA200: $11.92
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MAGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +46.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAGN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAGN)
Materials Rank #183 of 270
⚔️ RYAM vs MAGN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MAGN vs. RYAM, MATV, CLW, SLVM)
Industry: Paper (7 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Magnera Corporation (MAGN) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #181 by equity capitalization ($432.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLVM leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while SLVM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SLVM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MAGN at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGN
ACTIVE
Magnera Corporation | D | 48/100 | — | 10.5% | 0.1% | +2.20% | $432.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | 8.1% | 1.3% | -0.74% | $452.5M | /ryam-vs-magn → |
| MATV Mativ Holdings Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | 18.3% | -21.2% | -0.97% | $620.9M | /matv-vs-magn → |
| CLW Clearwater Paper Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | 7.4% | -2.9% | -1.29% | $209.5M | /clw-vs-magn → |
| SLVM Sylvamo Corporation | B | 73/100 | 9.7x | — | 20.5% | +1.32% | $1.29B | /slvm-vs-magn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0000041719In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Magnera Corporation (MAGN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.20B (+46.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.19B , and +40.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$159.0M, operating cash flow of $103.0M, and free cash flow of $36.0M (-70.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAGN closed FY2025 with $3.89B in total assets against $1.93B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.10, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-27 | $3.20B | -$159.0M | $103.0M | $36.0M | $3.89B | $1.93B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-28 | $2.19B | -$154.0M | $192.0M | $120.0M | $3.99B | $1.99B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $2.27B | -$79.1M | $257.0M | $257.0M | — | — |
3. MAGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MAGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Magnera Corporation (NYSE: MAGN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $12.08 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $432.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MAGN ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MAGN compare to RYAM and MATV in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Paper), MAGN carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 10.5%, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, RYAM (Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $452.5M) and MATV (Mativ Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.2%, cap $620.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAGN?
Per MAGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0000041719), Magnera Corporation generated $3.20B in revenue (+46.5% YoY), -$159.0M in net income, and $36.0M in free cash flow against $3.89B in total assets and $1.93B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MAGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MAGN last traded at $12.08 (+2.20% on volume of 318,428 shares), positioning the stock +2.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.78) and +1.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.92). Across its 52-week range of $7.82 to $15.52, MAGN sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($11.13 to $13.03).
MAGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is MAGN stock moving today?
Why MAGN Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.